Open Access Article
Gabriela
Rodrigues Niquini
,
Karla
Herrera Delgado
*,
Stephan
Pitter
and
Jörg
Sauer
Institute of Catalysis Research and Technology (IKFT), Karlsruhe Institute of Technology, Hermann-von-Helmholtz-Platz 1, 76344 Eggenstein-Leopoldshafen, Germany. E-mail: karla.herrera@kit.edu
First published on 27th October 2025
The kinetics of CO2 hydrogenation to methanol over a self-developed Cu/ZnO/ZrO2 (CZZ) catalyst was studied in a wide range of process conditions. Experiments were performed at industrially relevant pressures (30–60 bar) and temperatures (190–250 °C), as well as H2 to CO2 ratios between 1 and 6, addressing the use of hydrogen from renewable energy sources and the use of CO2 as a C1 raw material in Power-to-X technologies. The CZZ catalyst has shown improved performance and higher stability in CO2 hydrogenation to methanol in comparison to other Cu/ZnO-based catalysts. A mathematical description of the kinetics is crucial to enable model-based design for the industrial implementation of this catalyst. Therefore, a lumped 6-parameter kinetic model was developed to fit the experimental data, resulting in one of the predictive models with the broadest validity range (experimental database of 500 points) for the CZZ system. This new kinetic model is compared to state-of-the-art literature models with more parameters, and our model performs equally well or even better in terms of sensitivity to process parameters and extrapolability.
| CO + 2 H2 ⇌ CH3OH; ΔH0rxn,298K = −90.5 kJ mol−1 | (1) |
| CO2 + 3 H2 ⇌ CH3OH + H2O; ΔH0rxn,298K = −49.3 kJ mol−1 | (2) |
| CO2 + H2 ⇌ CO + H2O; ΔH0rxn,298K = 41.2 kJ mol−1 | (3) |
The state-of-the-art catalyst Cu/ZnO/Al2O3 (CZA) has been extensively studied and optimized for CO hydrogenation to methanol.4 Nevertheless, for CO2 hydrogenation to methanol, this catalyst exhibits limited performance due to the higher occurrence of rWGS and enhanced formation of water, reducing the number of active sites over time.5,6 On the other hand, Cu/ZnO/ZrO2 was shown to be more adequate for CO2 hydrogenation due to the lower affinity of ZrO2 to water and enhanced CO2 adsorption.7–9
Besides an efficient catalyst, kinetic models are essential to optimize reactor and process design. Especially in the case of CO2 hydrogenation to methanol, innovative designs and process concepts are desired, to overcome the disadvantages of the lower thermodynamic equilibrium conversions achieved in comparison to CO hydrogenation. In a previous publication from our group,10 a kinetic model proposed previously by the authors11 was used to carry out a techno-economic analysis of a process concept with three reactors in series with inter-stage condensation. In Bagwan et al.,12 the model proposed by Portha et al.13 for CZA was used to simulated isothermal and adiabatic methanol reactors, analyzing the effect of H2:CO2 ratio, initial temperature and pressure. For the results to be significant, the models need to be robust and developed in conditions close to the intended operation. Nyári et al.14 showed that the choice of kinetic model for a techno-economic analysis can lead to a 10% difference in the calculated levelized costs of CO2-based methanol.
Most reported kinetic models for methanol synthesis were validated for the commercial catalyst CZA; some examples are discussed in more detail in Section 2. Regarding models developed for CZZ, Portha et al.13 carried out 10 experiments and refitted the kinetic parameters (pre-exponential factor and activation energy) for CO2 hydrogenation and reverse water–gas shift from Graaf et al.15 The adsorption parameters and the kinetic parameters for CO hydrogenation were retrieved from the original model. A similar modeling approach was followed by Marcos et al.,16 using 45 experimental points for each of the two investigated ZrO2 polymorphs. Khawaja and Usman17 used 31 experimental points reported in Arena et al.18 to test the integral and the differential methods for a power law model and the kinetic models from Graaf et al.15 and Park et al.19 The authors concluded that the integral method, for all models, showed smaller deviations. Beyond that, the model from Graaf et al.15 with refitted parameters provided more accurate results. Dong et al.20 reported 20 experiments measured at atmospheric pressure and refitted the models from Kubota et al.21 and from Vanden Bussche and Froment22 with some assumptions reported by the former. It is important to highlight that, in the work from Dong et al.,20 no direct measurements of methanol are reported; instead, the methanol outlet was calculated via carbon balance. Furthermore, the reported methanol outlet concentrations are implausible regarding thermodynamic equilibrium, which predicts only traces of methanol for atmospheric pressure.
In the present work, we significantly expand the validation ranges of these models, providing 500 experimental points. The dataset provided by this publication includes experiments up to 60 bar and several H2/CO2 ratios. In Fig. 1, we summarize the validation ranges of each model. The H2/CO2 ratio is given in terms of stoichiometric number (SN), as defined in eqn (4), to enable further comparison with experimental data including CO in the feed.
![]() | (4) |
The objective of this work is to propose a kinetic model for methanol synthesis on Cu/ZnO/ZrO2 and compare it to state-of-the-art models from literature in terms of sensitivity to operating variables and prediction of external datasets.
![]() | (5) |
![]() | (6) |
![]() | (7) |
The model contains 12 parameters. The kinetic constants kj and the adsorption constants Kj are given respectively as Arrhenius and Van't Hoff equations:
![]() | (8) |
![]() | (9) |
The equilibrium terms η are given by eqn (10)–(12):
![]() | (10) |
![]() | (11) |
![]() | (12) |
The K0p(T) parameters correspond to the equilibrium constants. In this work, they are calculated using the NASA 7-coefficient polynomials.23,24
The authors propose two models: in a more extended model, with 10 parameters, the adsorption terms are all taken into account, and their temperature dependence is considered. This model is further simplified to 6 parameters by assuming that the hydrogen sites are always occupied and that the adsorption isotherms are linearly dependent. The 6-parameter model is shown in eqn (13) and (14). Similarly to Graaf, the authors decide on the rate-determining steps by testing all elementary steps. These are given in the SI.
![]() | (13) |
![]() | (14) |
![]() | (15) |
![]() | (16) |
The Cu/ZnO/ZrO2 (CZZ) catalyst used is prepared by continuous co-precipitation followed by aging, filtering and calcination. Details about the synthesis process and the setup are available in previous works.34,35 The obtained material has a molar ratio of 62.7% Cu, 29.5% Zn and 7.8% Zr after calcination. Manufacturing details and characterization of the catalyst are available elsewhere.36 This catalyst serves as a reference catalyst at the Institute of Catalysis Research and Technology, due to the reproducibility of the synthesis method and scalability of its production.37,38
For the experimental run reported here, 1.0 g of CZZ (250–500 μm) was physically mixed with 10.0 g of silicon carbide (SiC, Mineraliengrosshandel Hausen GmbH), to avoid hot spots. This mixture was filled into the reactor, forming a catalytic bed of 2.6 cm length. Pure SiC was placed at the top and bottom of the catalytic bed. The catalyst was reduced at atmospheric pressure using the following procedure: a volume flow of 600 mLN min−1 (5% v/v of H2 in N2) was fed to the reactor, while heating from 90 °C to 120 °C at a rate of 10 °C h−1 took place. With the same flow, heating proceeded until the temperature of 200 °C at a rate of 7.5 °C h−1, and the final temperature was held for 1 hour. Afterwards, the H2 content was changed to 50% v/v, and the temperature was increased to 220 °C with a ramp of 10 °C h−1. These conditions were maintained for another hour, after which the reactor was purged with N2 and cooled to 180 °C.
Kinetic experiments were carried out at temperatures between 190 and 250 °C, pressures of 30, 50 and 60 bar and space velocities (SV) of 48 and 72 Nm3 kgcat−1 h−1. To evaluate the sensitivity of methanol formation and reverse water–gas shift with respect to H2 and CO2, the nominal gas composition was varied in a manner that each component (CO2 or H2) was held constant at a time, and the other was varied. The N2 fraction was adjusted accordingly to maintain the total volume flow. Additionally to this variation, experiments with stoichiometric H2
:
CO2 ratio for the methanol synthesis (3
:
1) without dilution in N2 were also performed. The used gas compositions are given in Table 1. Detailed experimental data are provided in the SI.
| CO2 | H2 | N2 |
|---|---|---|
| 20 | 20 | 60 |
| 20 | 30 | 50 |
| 20 | 40 | 40 |
| 20 | 50 | 30 |
| 20 | 70 | 10 |
| 20 | 80 | 0 |
| 20 | 60 | 20 |
| 30 | 60 | 10 |
| 25 | 60 | 15 |
| 15 | 60 | 25 |
| 10 | 60 | 30 |
| 25 | 75 | 0 |
Prior to the kinetic measurements reported in this paper, the reactor was operated for 50 hours at 30 bar, temperatures between 210 and 250 °C and all the gas compositions given in Table 1. The duration of this period was determined based on reference measurements reported in the SI (Fig. S1). After this, each condition was kept for at least 40 minutes, to ensure that the changes in the operating parameters were completed.
![]() | (17) |
In which the percentages correspond to the volume fractions obtained in the FTIR. The division by 1 + 0.02·%CH3OHout accounts for the stoichiometry of the methanol synthesis. All points used for the modeling are within a ±4% deviation. The 500 experimental points were randomized and divided into 5 groups – or folds – containing 100 points each. In the so-called cross-validation method, each group is removed from the complete set at a time, with the remaining points being used for parameter estimation. The removed points are used for validation.39
The reactor was modeled as a plug-flow reactor (PFR) operating under integral conditions. To justify the assumption of plug-flow, we have followed the criteria reported in Raja et al.40 to exclude radial convection and axial diffusion in comparison to axial convection. Internal mass transfer limitations were neglected based on the Weisz–Prater criterion.41,42 According to Levenspiel,43 film diffusion resistance is unlikely to affect the reaction rate in a gas/porous catalyst system, hence it was neglected in our study. Pressure drop along the bed length was calculated based on Ergun's equation44 for the worst-case scenario – highest flow velocity –, and the obtained value was lower than 1 mbar, therefore it was neglected.
The mass balance for each component i is given by eqn (18):
![]() | (18) |
Here, νij corresponds to the stoichiometric coefficient of component i in reaction j, and Ṅ corresponds to the total molar flow.
The variation in the number of moles due to the stoichiometry of CO2 hydrogenation is given in eqn (19):
![]() | (19) |
Fugacities were calculating using the Peng–Robinson equation of state,45 following the methodology described in a previous publication from our research group.46 The binary interaction parameters kij were retrieved from the works of Meng et al.,47,48 and an effective hydrogen acentric factor ω = −0.05 was used.49
The objective function for parameter estimation corresponds to minimizing the normalized squared errors of the carbon-containing compounds, shown in eqn (20):
![]() | (20) |
Three recent models from literature were re-fitted using this objective function: Nestler et al.25 (eqn (6) and (7)), the simplified model from Slotboom et al.29 (eqn (13) and (14)) and the 6-parameter model from Lacerda de Oliveira Campos et al.11 (eqn (15) and (16)). In the latter, the zinc coverage term ϕZn was lumped into the other parameters, since all experimental points in this work would have the same Zn coverage (0.1). Experimental and theoretical studies about the dynamics of Cu/Zn-based catalysts can be found in the literature.9,36,50,51 Nevertheless, in lumped kinetic models, which are intended for process optimization and design, the focus is on understanding the overall reaction kinetics. In these situations, the common approach is to incorporate these structural-activity dynamics into the existing parameters.
To account for the activity loss of the catalyst with respect to time, an activity term (eqn (21)) was included in all re-fittings, as done in Rodrigues Niquini et al.52 As already discussed in our previous publication,52 this term should not be extrapolated to industrial catalyst lifetimes and is intended solely to improve the quality of the kinetic parameters.
![]() | (21) |
In this equation, kd corresponds to the deactivation constant, ToS corresponds to the time on stream, and t0 is a reference time, in which the activity aCZZ is equal to 1. In this work, we chose t0 = 50 h, corresponding to the conditioning time. To monitor the catalytic activity over time, reference measurements were carried out along the experimental campaign. These reference measurements – not used for the model construction – are shown in the SI, along with the model predictions with respect to time on stream. In these plots, it is possible to observe that the measurements for the initial hours follow a different trend, reason why they were neglected in the kinetic model. Furthermore, the decay in methanol and CO formation over time follows the trend predicted by the model, indicating that the inclusion of an activity term is appropriate.
Parameter estimation was carried out in Matlab R2021b, using the built-in fminsearch function, with a tolerance of X equal to 10−4 and function tolerance equal to 10−6. Molar fractions and molar flow were integrated using the ode15s function, with absolute and relative tolerances set to 10−8. Pre-exponential factors, depending on their order of magnitude, were estimated in logarithmic form, to improve numerical sensitivity. To avoid divisions by zero in the reactor inlet, initial molar fractions for all components were set as at least 1 × 10−7 (0.1 ppm). Different sets of parameters were given as initial guesses, as an attempt to find the global minimum.
![]() | (22) |
![]() | (23) |
This modified model is marginally more accurate than the original formulation, with χ2 values of, respectively, 4.99 and 5.05 for the best sets. A more detailed comparison between these two formulations, as well as the estimated parameters and the parity plots for the original one, are given in the SI.
The parameters estimated for the new proposed model are given in Table 2. As shown by the confidence intervals, all parameters are statistically significant. In Fig. 3, the parity plots for CH3OH and CO are shown. A slight underestimation is observed for points with higher methanol formation; still, all 500 points are within ±20%. For CO, 455 points are within ±10% deviation, and 492 are within ±20%. The predictions for CO2 are all within the ±10% range for this work and the other tested models.
![]() | ||
| Fig. 3 Parity plots for (a) CH3OH and (b) CO for the model proposed in this work. The dashed lines represent a ±20% deviation. | ||
In Tables 3 and 4, the refitted parameters for Slotboom and Nestler models are presented, respectively. For both models, all parameters are statistically different from zero. The parity plots are available in the SI. For the refitted Slotboom model, 409 out of the 500 points are within the ±10% range for methanol and 497 are within the ±20% range, performing similarly to this work. For CO, only 284 points are within the ±10% range. For Nestler, 492 out of the 500 experimental points are within the ±10% range for methanol, being the most accurate of the investigated models for this substance. On the other hand, only 301 points are within the ±10% range for CO.
The total χ2, as well as the errors MSE and MRE for each model, are given in Table 5. The present model has the lowest χ2 (4.99) among the tested models. Regarding the deviations for the carbon-containing components, this work clearly outperforms the literature models for CO prediction. For CO2, the performance of the models is similar. For methanol, the deviations have the same order of magnitude for all models, with Nestler showing the lowest errors.
| MSE 103 | MRE 102 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parameters | χ 2 | CO | CO2 | CH3OH | CO | CO2 | CH3OH | |
| This work | 6 | 4.99 | 4.12 | 0.29 | 5.58 | 4.92 | 1.44 | 6.23 |
| Nestler | 10 | 8.31 | 14.79 | 0.24 | 1.60 | 9.93 | 1.36 | 3.05 |
| Slotboom | 7 | 12.30 | 18.66 | 0.21 | 5.73 | 10.75 | 1.28 | 6.13 |
In Fig. 4, the effect of temperature on CH3OH and CO formation is analyzed at 30 and 60 bar, as well as the sensitivity of the models. At 30 bar, methanol formation increases with temperature until it approaches thermodynamic equilibrium. At 60 bar, the thermodynamic limitation is less visible. On the other hand, CO formation rises exponentially at the investigated range, following the expected Arrhenius behavior. All models capture the trends well, with slight differences at higher temperatures.
In Fig. 5, the experiments' and models' behavior for different pressures is shown. Methanol formation increases slightly for higher pressures, and CO formation stays approximately constant. These results show that, from a kinetic point of view, it is beneficial to carry out methanol synthesis at higher pressures, since selectivity to methanol is enhanced. Nevertheless, this increase in methanol formation is in a smaller order of magnitude than thermodynamic equilibrium predictions (dashed line in Fig. 5c). The trends are well captured by the models, with Nestler slightly overestimating the effect of high pressures on methanol formation.
Fig. 6 shows the effect of the partial pressure of H2 on the experiments and the models. For methanol formation, an increase in the partial pressure of H2 leads to an almost linear increase in methanol formation. This result matches recent literature for mechanistic insights, which states that the apparent reaction order of methanol formation concerning H2 is close to 1 on Cu-based catalysts.53,54 All models capture this trend well. Regarding CO formation, the partial pressure of H2 has low sensitivity. The model proposed in this work is the one that better captures this trend, while Nestler shows a slight increase and Slotboom, a slight decrease. This experimental result also matches mechanistic findings.
In Fig. 7, we show the behavior for varying CO2 partial pressures. CH3OH and CO formation both present a slight increase for higher CO2 partial pressures. This observation matches recent mechanistic findings,53 which predict CO2 as an adsorption species, hindering the reaction rate. This work and the model from Nestler predict this behavior well, as they both have CO2 in the denominators. Slotboom, nevertheless, neglects CO2 adsorption in the model by omitting formate (HCOO) from the site coverage.
![]() | ||
| Fig. 7 Variations in CO2 partial pressure for the following conditions: yH2,in = 0.59, T = 210 °C, SV = 72 Nm3 kgcat−1 h−1, (a and b) p = 31 bar, (c and d) p = 62 bar. | ||
In summary, all three models presented in this work show good results for methanol and CO predictions on CO2-rich feeds, especially for the sensitivity analyses. The model from Slotboom slightly overestimates the sensitivity with respect to CO2 (see Fig. 7), which is a hint that including CO2 as an adsorption species could improve the model, corroborating experimental evidence. Comparing Nestler and this work, the former presents slightly better prediction results for CH3OH and the latter, for CO. Nevertheless, the present model contains 4 parameters fewer than Nestler, facilitating its implementation in commercial software for plant simulations, such as Aspen Plus and gPROMS.
Parity plots for each model are shown in Fig. 8. The model proposed in this work presents a good performance for lower methanol formations, and slightly underestimates higher methanol yields. Slotboom presents a similar behavior, with a more severe underestimation. However, the refitted model from Nestler predicts almost no reaction for CO-containing feeds. This occurs probably due to mechanistic assumptions for the adsorption term. In Nestler's model, CO* and
are the dominant carbon-containing surface species, resulting in a high sensitivity of the model to the fugacity of CO. The model from Slotboom and the one proposed in this work propose more complex adsorption mechanisms, resulting in a lower sensitivity to CO partial pressure.
![]() | ||
| Fig. 8 Parity plots for (a) CH3OH and (b) CO for the dataset published in Rodrigues Niquini et al.52 The dashed lines represent a ±20% deviation. | ||
We also simulated the experiments from Arena et al.18 used in the study developed by Khawaja and Usman.17 These experiments were carried out on a Cu/ZnO/ZrO2 prepared via reverse co-precipitation, and a summary of the experimental conditions is also given in Table 6. In this case, the activity of the catalyst was assumed to be always equal to 1, since no data for time on stream was given. The parity plots are shown in Fig. 9. For methanol, all models exhibit a good performance, with most of the points within or close to the ±20% range. For CO, the models from Nestler and Slotboom underestimate some of the values, while all points estimated by our model are within or close to the ±20% range.
![]() | ||
| Fig. 9 Parity plots for (a) CH3OH and (b) CO for the dataset published in Arena et al.18 The dashed lines represent a ±20% deviation. | ||
Numerical results for the simulation of these data sets are given in Table 7. For the experiments from Arena et al.,18 carried out with CO2 as only carbon source, our model presents the lowest χ2 (2.94), followed by Nestler (5.58) and Slotboom (5.93). Similarly to our experimental points, the model from Nestler has a lower error for methanol, and our model predicts CO better. For our previous experiments,52 from which most contain CO in the feed, the present model has again the lower χ2 (28.8). As already discussed in the parity plots, the refitted model from Nestler presents a poor performance for CO-containing feed, probably because KCO was overestimated.
| MSE 103 | MRE 102 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Experiments | Model | χ 2 | CO | CO2 | CH3OH | CO | CO2 | CH3OH |
| Arena et al.18 | This work | 2.94 | 36.1 | 0.11 | 61.8 | 14.7 | 0.82 | 20.7 |
| Nestler | 5.58 | 138.3 | 0.18 | 47.4 | 30.2 | 0.88 | 18.0 | |
| Slotboom | 5.93 | 110.8 | 0.35 | 86.6 | 26.6 | 1.25 | 24.1 | |
| Rodrigues Niquini et al.52 | This work | 28.8 | 16.3 | 0.93 | 84.4 | 6.83 | 2.28 | 22.7 |
| Nestler | 233.8 | 63.8 | 1.04 | 761.3 | 14.5 | 2.60 | 82.2 | |
| Slotboom | 36.0 | 53.0 | 1.19 | 72.9 | 12.8 | 2.66 | 21.1 | |
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