Pedro L.
Cruz
a,
Mario
Martín-Gamboa
*b,
Khaoula
Ben Hnich
c,
Javier
Dufour
ab and
Diego
Iribarren
a
aSystems Analysis Unit, IMDEA Energy, 28935 Móstoles, Spain
bChemical and Environmental Engineering Group, Rey Juan Carlos University, 28933 Móstoles, Spain. E-mail: mario.mgamboa@urjc.es
cLaboratoire de Recherche Catalyse et Matériaux pour l'Environnement et les Procédés LRCMEP (LR19ES08), Ecole Nationale d’Ingénieurs de Gabès, Université de Gabès, 6029 Gabès, Tunisia
First published on 11th May 2023
The use of biowaste to produce synthetic fuels is often proposed to overcome sustainability issues associated with conventional fossil fuels. Several routes and processes from waste feedstock to final fuels have proven to be technically feasible, whereas economic and environmental aspects typically differ from one system to another depending on the specific conditions and context. In a previous study on the life-cycle sustainability performance of synthetic diesel and gasoline from Tunisian date palm waste, critical concerns on the use of grid electricity and conventional oxygen were reported. In order to further explore the potential environmental and economic suitability of this biofuel production pathway, this article revisits and extends the former case study by assessing the effect of implementing renewable electricity and alternative oxygen. In particular, the use of photovoltaics (PV) to provide electricity to the synthetic fuel plant, as well as its use in local oxygen production, is considered. System Advisor Model (SAM) software is used to simulate a PV plant, including the estimation of the levelised cost of energy. Life Cycle Assessment (LCA) and Life Cycle Costing (LCC) are applied to estimate the environmental and economic life-cycle profile of the synthetic biofuels when the potential improvement actions are implemented. When compared to the original system, a slight decrease in total production costs is found, yet considering higher capital costs related to PV installation. Regarding the environmental dimension, findings on the suitability of the alternative system depend on the specific impact category and the reference target, with significant potential savings (e.g. climate change) but also greater potential impacts (e.g. use of minerals and metals) when benchmarked against both the original bioenergy system and conventional fossil fuels. This evinces complex decision-making when multiple sustainability aspects are taken into account, but suggesting the suitability of the proposed measures if the long-term benefits of climate change mitigation and the current national decarbonisation targets are prioritised.
The transport sector is responsible for nearly 40% of the global greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions from end-use sectors,1,3 evidencing the relevance of acting on this sector to achieve emission reduction targets. For instance, the European Commission estimates that a 90% reduction in transport emissions is needed to meet climate neutrality by 2050.4 However, some of the effects of climate change are already irreversible.5 These are likely to be more noticeable in North Africa, with expected annual temperature increases higher than the average of the planet.6
Despite the high contribution to GHG emissions from the transport sector, the demand for liquid fuels is expected to grow in the near future. This, along with the current energy crisis and supply security, calls for new policies boosting the structural transformation of the energy sector, aimed at climate change mitigation and energy security. Hence, alternatives to decarbonise the transport sector are required. In this sense, synthetic and bio-based liquid fuels could play an important role.
Currently, liquid biofuels represent around 3.6% of the energy needs in the transport sector,7 being expected to reach 5.4% by 2027.8 While most of them are associated with first-generation biomass,9 second- and third-generation biofuels coming from non-food feedstock may meet the medium-term need for biofuels, especially for jet fuel and diesel.10,11 In particular, advanced biofuels coming from agricultural waste might represent 3–14% of the global energy supply in the coming years,12 while other waste streams and dedicated short-rotation woody crops should also be used.1
In this regard, several pathways from biomass to final liquid fuels (biomass-to-liquid, BtL) have already been set up at different levels. Numerous studies have addressed assessments on the technical, economic and environmental performance of BtL systems, generally finding environmental improvements compared to conventional fossil-based fuels13–17 and techno-economic viability.18–26 In particular, previous studies from the authors evaluated the feasibility of synthetic biofuel production from date palm waste in Tunisia,27,28 as an abundant and available local feedstock. Despite the nature of the feedstock and the technical feasibility of the system, the life-cycle sustainability assessment conducted by Ben Hnich et al.27 found drawbacks associated with the system's demand for grid electricity and conventional oxygen. Tunisian electricity production was identified as the main hotspot, which is linked to the fact that approximately 97% of the country's electricity is generated from fossil fuels, mainly natural gas.29,30 This fossil contribution to the power mix contrasts with the huge renewable potential of the country, especially wind and solar.29 Tunisia holds a daily theoretical solar production potential of 5.3 kW h m−2 and 4.7 kW h per installed kWp,31 and the government has launched policies to encourage investment to achieve a renewable electricity capacity of around 3800 MW by 2030.32,33
Within this context, this study revisits the above-mentioned work by Ben Hnich et al.27 to explore the effect of improvement actions on the identified hotspots under environmental and economic life-cycle aspects. In particular, the production of the required electricity in a dedicated photovoltaic (PV) plant is proposed and assessed, given the solar potential in Tunisia. Moreover, oxygen production with renewable electricity is also proposed. The ultimate goal is to elucidate how contextual conditions (in this case, electricity production) may affect the economic and environmental performance of a specific energy system, thus supporting holistic decision-making processes in the path towards the delivery of sustainable fuels.
The synthetic fuel production process (Fig. 1) consists of syngas production, syngas conditioning, Fischer–Tropsch (FT) synthesis, heat & power generation, and product upgrading. Firstly, date palm waste is pretreated and prepared to meet the specifications of the considered dual fluidised bed gasification technology. The bioenergy plant annually processes a date palm waste of ca. 90 kt. The gasification section was based on previous studies.34–36 The generated syngas is a mixture of predominantly H2 and CO, along with CO2, light hydrocarbons and impurities.37 In order to adapt its composition to FT requirements, the H2/CO molar ratio is shifted to around 2.15 in a water gas shift reactor. Then, as FT Co-based catalysts are sensitive to sulphur poisoning, syngas undergoes cleaning before being injected into the FT reactor. The gas mixture is fed to the acid gas removal (AGR) section, where acid gas species (such as H2S and CO2) are removed. The resultant clean and adjusted syngas is sent to the FT reactor, where it is converted into linear hydrocarbons of a wide range of molecular weight. This hydrocarbon stream is cooled and taken to a separation step to retrieve water, recover unreacted syngas and purify the hydrocarbons, which are fed to the hydroprocessing section to obtain diesel and gasoline, as main products, and a tail gas stream. This tail gas is mixed with part of the recovered unreacted gases to be fed to a heat & power generation section to produce steam and electricity, while the rest (around 90%) of the unreacted gases undergo autothermal reforming (ATR) to produce additional syngas to be processed. Further details on process simulation and assumptions can be found in previous studies.27,28
- Scenario A: PV plant capable of producing around 50% of the electricity consumption, assuming net balance with the grid.
- Scenario B: PV plant that supplies around 50% of the required electricity (net balance with the grid), with power storage in batteries to ensure 40% off-grid operation.
- Scenario C: PV plant fulfilling all the electricity consumption of the plant, considering net balance with the grid.
The design and the simulation for the different scenarios were carried out in SAM by using the detailed PV model (but the detailed PV-battery model for Scenario B, with Li-ion:Ni–Mn–Co/graphite batteries38). The specific parameters and considerations for PV plant simulation in SAM are presented in Table 1.
Section | Specifications |
---|---|
PV module | Type: monocrystalline silicon modules SunPower SPR-E19-310-COM; 310 Wdc max, 19.01% nominal efficiency, 96 cells, 1.63 m2 |
PV system and layout | 1 subarray; DC-to-AC ratio: 1.2; module 2-axis tracking; ground coverage ratio: 0.3; module aspect ratio: 1.7. Losses: 5% soiling losses, 2% module mismatch, 0.5% diodes and connections, 2% DC wiring, 1% AC wiring; 0.5% annual DC degradation |
Inverter | Type: SMA America SC750CP-US; 770 kWac max; 792 kWdc max; 97.59% CEC weighted efficiency |
Battery cell and system | Type: Li-ion:Ni–Mn–Co oxides (NMC/graphite); 500 Vdc bank voltage, 3.6 Vdc cell voltage, 3.2 Ah cell capacity. Dispatch: 15%/98% minimum/maximum state of charge; manual dispatch with 100% allowance |
Costs | Module: 0.41 $ per Wdc. Inverter: 0.05 $ per Wdc. Battery: 293.84 $ per kW h + 263.12 $ per kW. Balance of system: 0.2 $ per Wdc. Installation: 0.11 $ per Wdc. Installation margin and overheads: 0.06 $ per Wdc. Contingencies: 3% direct costs. Indirect capital costs, total installed costs and operation & maintenance costs set with default SAM parameters. Financial parameters: cf. Section 2.2 |
The PV plant was assumed to be located near the bioenergy plant in Gabès (Tunisia), for which the typical meteorological year (TMY) was retrieved from the PVGIS database.39 It was assumed that the bioenergy plant operates 7000 hours per year, distributed between February and November to take advantage of the periods with higher solar radiation (with December and January for technical maintenance). Following the above-mentioned requirements and considerations, the information obtained from the PV plant simulation in SAM is presented in Table 2.
Parameter | Unit | Scenario A | Scenario B | Scenario C |
---|---|---|---|---|
PV power capacity | kWp | 5500 | 5500 | 10700 |
Number of PV modules | — | 18 | 18 | 35 |
PV field area | ha | 2.89 | 2.89 | 5.63 |
Number of inverters | — | 6 | 6 | 12 |
Battery capacity | kW h | — | 1300 | — |
Load | MW h y−1 | 25095 | 25095 | 25095 |
PV to load | MW h y−1 | 9900 | 9900 | 11068 |
PV to battery | MW h y−1 | 0 | 327 | 0 |
Battery to load | MW h y−1 | 0 | 277 | 0 |
PV to grid | MW h y−1 | 3136 | 2809 | 14401 |
Grid to load | MW h y−1 | 15201 | 14917 | 14040 |
PV direct supply | % | 39.5 | 39.5 | 44.1 |
PV + battery supply | % | 39.5 | 40.8 | 44.1 |
PV + battery + grid balance | % | 51.9 | 51.9 | 101.5 |
Table 3 presents the inventory data associated with the production of synthetic biofuels, including the electricity demand and sources modelled in the different scenarios. Inventory information for the cultivation and transport of the biomass feedstock as well as for conventional fuel systems can be consulted in ref. 27. In order to streamline the presentation of the inventory data used in this article, only modified and new life-cycle inventories (LCIs) with respect to those found in ref. 27 are presented below.
INPUTS | OUTPUTS | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
a Electricity consumption is satisfied in each case study as follows: base case: 87.04 kW h from grid. Scenario A: 43.52 kW h from grid + 43.52 kW h from PV. Scenario B: 43.52 kW h from grid + 43.52 kW h from PV with battery storage. Scenario C: 87.04 kW h from PV. | |||||
From the technosphere | Amount | Unit | To the technosphere | Amount | Unit |
Date palm waste | 312.13 | kg | Products | ||
Process water | 357.54 | kg | Diesel | 14.80 | kg |
Methanol | 0.27 | kg | Gasoline | 8.51 | kg |
Sand | 3.88 | kg | Hydrogen | 0.46 | kg |
N2 | 0.15 | kg | Waste to treatment | ||
O2 | 19.28 | kg | Ash | 1.52 | kg |
Calcium carbonate | 32.08 | g | Wastewater | 357.54 | kg |
FT catalyst | 13.02 | g | Waste to recycling | 2.74 · 10−2 | kg |
WGS catalyst | 0.22 | g | Waste to landfilling | 3.91 | kg |
ATR catalyst | 0.17 | g | To the environment | ||
Electricity | 87.04a | kW h | Emissions to air | ||
From the environment | O2 | 25.49 | kg | ||
Air | 618.62 | kg | N2 | 80.51 | kg |
Cooling water | 2.44 | t | H2O | 54.46 | kg |
CO | 1.50 | kg | |||
CO2 | 243.84 | kg | |||
CH4 | 3.90 | g | |||
N2O | 0.76 | kg | |||
NO | 0.56 | kg | |||
H2S | 16.92 | g | |||
SO2 | 34.30 | g | |||
Acenaphthene | 0.19 | kg | |||
Anthracene | 0.22 | kg | |||
Hydrochloric acid | 8.43 | g | |||
Methanol | 0.27 | kg | |||
Naphthalene | 0.17 | kg | |||
Phenanthrene | 0.22 | kg | |||
Emissions to water | |||||
Acenaphthylene | 5.72 | g | |||
Anthracene | 3.51 | g | |||
Diphenylacetylene | 1.50 | g | |||
Naphthalene | 28.91 | g | |||
Pyrene | 2.02 × 10−2 | g | |||
Water | 2.44 | t |
According to the context of the study, regionalised datasets from the ecoinvent database were directly used in the case of the PV plant, involving manufacture of solar panels, support systems, inverters and electrical systems, as well as operation.43 Regarding battery storage, the work by da Silva Lima et al.44 was used as the main source of information. In this sense, inventories concerning the production of the battery cell, battery tray and rack housing were directly retrieved from ref. 44, while adaptations to the present case study were conducted in relation to the transport and operation of the manufactured battery (Tables 4 and 5, respectively). The road and ship transport from the battery manufacturer in The Netherlands to Gabès in Tunisia was taken into account (Table 4). Additionally, the operation of the battery was adapted by including the above-mentioned regionalised PV datasets (Table 5). Finally, regarding the modification of background processes, the ecoinvent dataset Oxygen, liquid {RoW} was regionalised by using 100% PV electricity (from Tunisia) in the oxygen production process instead of grid electricity.
INPUTS | OUTPUTS | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
From the technosphere | Amount | Unit | To the technosphere | Amount | Unit |
Battery rack filled, lithium-ion battery | 13900.00 | kg | Products | ||
Intermodal shipping container | 1.00 | p | Assembled battery, lithium-ion battery | 1.00 | p |
Transport, by lorry | 1790 | t km | |||
Transport, by ship | 80357.54 | t km |
INPUTS | OUTPUTS | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
From the technosphere | Amount | Unit | To the technosphere | Amount | Unit |
Assembled battery, lithium-ion battery | 3.47 × 10−4 | p | Products | ||
Electricity, from PV (energy for operation) | 1.65 × 10−1 | MW h | Electricity | 1.00 | MW h |
Electricity, from PV (energy for charging) | 1.93 × 10−1 | MW h | |||
Inverter | 4.52 × 10−4 | p |
Parameter | Unit | Base case | Scenario A | Scenario B | Scenario C |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
TIC PV plant | M$2020 | — | 5.65 | 7.20 | 11.00 |
Discounted payback PV | year | — | 4.5 | 6.1 | 4.5 |
LCOE | ¢2020 per kW h | 8.96 | 2.79 | 3.36 | 2.78 |
TIC bioenergy plant | M$2020 | 52.09 | 52.09 | 52.09 | 52.09 |
Electricity cost | M$2020 per year | 2.20 | 0.70 | 0.84 | 0.70 |
Total production cost | $2020 per GJdiesel and gasoline | 30.87 | 25.70 | 26.19 | 25.69 |
Regarding the obtained electricity cost, the lowest values were found for Scenarios C and A, indicating that the consideration of the batteries in Scenario B penalises the economic performance of the system. In any case, the LCOE estimated for the three scenarios was found to be lower than that assumed for grid electricity, which suggests the feasibility of the PV plant in the specific location. This finding is aligned with the values reported prospectively in ref. 45 as well as with current tenders.46
Regarding the influence of PV electricity on the bioenergy plant, the production cost per GJ of gasoline and diesel was found to be reduced around 5 $ compared with the base case. In particular, higher reduction percentages were found in Scenarios A and C (>16.5%) than in Scenario B (ca. 15%), which is linked to their associated LCOE. These values are in agreement with other values reported in the scientific literature.19 When compared with their fossil counterparts, the cost values achieved in the present study are close to the upper edge for conventional diesel and gasoline in Tunisia (around 18–22 $ per GJ (ref. 47 and 48)). This suggests that further improvements and optimisation of the bioenergy plant in the near future could make it cost-competitive with fossil-based products, regardless of the potential consideration of any externalities or carbon-related taxes.
Overall, the installation of a PV plant to produce the electricity required by the BtL process was found to improve the economic performance of the biofuel plant, while proving the feasibility of such a strategy in the specific location.
One of the main findings of the environmental assessment can be directly drawn from Fig. 3: the impact categories do not follow a general trend, but the environmental suitability of the proposed modifications depends on the specific indicator under study and the reference target. When the focus is placed on mitigating climate change and reducing the use of fossil resources (both impact categories are closely linked), the strategy that achieves a more favourable environmental performance is the use of solar PV to cover all the electricity demand of the synthetic fuel plant (Scenario C). Particularly, this scenario reaches impact reductions above 70% for both indicators (climate change and fossil resource use) compared to both the base case and the conventional fuels case. However, Scenario C, in turn, involves the largest use of minerals and metals, with the associated concerns on upstream impacts on ecosystems and biodiversity and socio-economic issues related to mining and refining.50
For the remaining impact categories (particulate matter, acidification, and freshwater eutrophication), the three novel bioenergy scenarios show, to a similar extent, an enhanced performance with respect to the base case. This finding is closely linked to the substitution of oxygen from a global market by a local supplier that uses PV electricity for its production. Despite this behaviour, it should be noted that the environmental performance of the synthetic biofuels from the novel bioenergy scenarios under these three indicators remains unfavourable compared to conventional fuels.
One important consideration is the long-term cost of climate change. The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) has stated that the costs of climate change, including damages from extreme weather events, rising sea levels and reduced crop yields, should not be ignored.51 The costs of inaction on climate change are usually underrated, while they are likely to exceed the costs associated with mitigation and adaptation efforts.52 Hence, if inaction costs are taken into account, an energy system as proposed in Scenarios A and C, which reduces life-cycle GHG emissions and slows the rate of climate change, could be deemed more cost-effective in the long term than its fossil-based counterpart. Another relevant consideration is that the cost of the synthetic fuels can potentially decrease in the near future as technology improves and economies of scale are achieved, making these fuels increasingly competitive with conventional ones, especially if the current context of energy crisis continues. Additionally, it is important to consider the potential social and economic benefits of transitioning away from fossil fuels. Synthetic biofuels can create jobs and boost economic growth in those regions where their supply chain is located, and can also help improve energy security in areas where fossil fuels are currently the primary energy source.
Overall, while some aspects such as production costs could penalise the short-term production of the synthetic biofuels under study, long-term benefits in terms of avoided climate change damages and the current decarbonisation targets and climate policy frameworks of many countries could favour the deployment of this enhanced biofuel pathway. This leads to acknowledging sustainability as a pivotal concept within the complexity of decision-making processes, evaluating and prioritising those alternatives and measures that slow the rate of climate change while investing in sustainable infrastructure and equipment that promote long-term socio-economic benefits.53,54
From an environmental perspective, the consideration of the PV plant and renewable oxygen is concluded to improve all the evaluated impact categories, except for the use of minerals and metals, compared to the base case. In particular, reductions above 70% would be achieved in terms of climate change and use of fossil resources in a 100% PV scenario, compared to both the base case and conventional fuels. Nevertheless, the studied alternative systems would still involve concerns in terms of use of minerals and metals, particulate matter, acidification and freshwater eutrophication when compared to conventional, fossil-based fuels. Overall, long-term benefits in terms of avoided climate change damages and the current context of the energy crisis and climate emergency could favour the deployment of this enhanced biofuel pathway.
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