Malte
Schäfer
*,
Felipe
Cerdas
and
Christoph
Herrmann
Institute of Machine Tools and Production Technology (IWF), Technische Universität Braunschweig, 38106 Braunschweig, Germany. E-mail: malte.schaefer@tu-braunschweig.de; Tel: +49 (0)531 391-7650
First published on 14th March 2024
Inconsistent calculation of grid emission factors (EF) can result in widely divergent corporate greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions reports. We dissect this issue through a comprehensive literature review, identifying nine key aspects—each with two to six methodological choices—that substantially influence the reported EF. These choices lead to relative effect variations ranging from 1.2% to 69%. Using Germany's 2019–2022 data as a case study, our method yields results that largely align with prior studies, yet reveal relative effects from 0.4% to 34.6%. This study is the first to methodically unpack the key determinants of grid EF, quantify their impacts, and offer clear guidelines for their application in corporate GHG accounting. Our findings hold implications for practitioners, data publishers, researchers, and guideline-making organizations. By openly sharing our data and calculations, we invite replication, scrutiny, and further research.
Broader contextThis article highlights advancements in standardizing grid emission factors (EF) for corporate greenhouse gas (GHG) accounting, essential for energy and environmental science. Addressing inconsistencies in EF calculations, our study enhances the accuracy of corporate GHG reports. Through a literature review, we identify nine key methodological aspects affecting EFs. We analyze the relevance of these aspects by applying them to Germany's 2019–2022 data. Our recommendations for calculating EFs are based on principles of relevance, completeness, consistency, transparency, and accuracy, aiming to improve corporate GHG accounting reliability. This is crucial as accurate emission reporting becomes mandatory in regions like the European Union and California. Beyond corporate GHG accounting, our insights are significant for applications like electric vehicle charging and hydrogen production. By making our data and calculations available for public scrutiny, we seek to foster collaboration and establish a standardized approach to GHG emission reporting. |
One of the key tasks in preparing a sustainability report is the calculation of the company's annual GHG emissions. Given the often substantial electricity usage of companies, understanding the emissions from this sector is crucial for the company and its stakeholders. Many organizations rely on the Greenhouse Gas Protocol for guidelines on GHG accounting,3 and more specifically, its Scope 2 Guidelines for electricity-related emissions.4,5
A vital part of these calculations involves emission factors (EF), which quantify the amount of emissions (e.g. CO2) generated per unit of electricity consumed (e.g. kW h). For example, to assess the company's annual electricity-based GHG emissions, its total annual electricity consumption is multiplied with the EF.
The EF value depends on the mix of primary energy sources used for electricity generation. If a company procures electricity through a specific supplier, then the EF should correspond to that source, known as the market-based approach (cf.Fig. 1b). The market-based approach may take into consideration instruments such as guarantees of origin (GOs), which allow consumers to claim electricity from a specific source. In addition to the market-based approach, a grid-average EF should also be calculated, termed the location-based approach4 (cf.Fig. 1a). The location-based approach does not take into account GOs.
Fig. 1 (a) Location-based and (b) market-based accounting, as described in the GHG Protocol Scope 2 Guidelines.4 Location-based accounting relies on a grid-average EF (focus of this study), which reflects the emissions from all generators feeding into a grid. Market-based accounting relies on a supplier-specific EF, which reflects the emissions from the energy supplier that the electricity consumer has a contractual agreement with. |
One of the challenges for determining a grid-average EF lies in selecting suitable data sources. To highlight this issue, Fig. 2 presents the 2020 grid-average EF for Germany, as reported by diverse organizations such as the international energy agency (IEA),6,7 the European Environmental Agency (EEA),8 and the German Federal Environmental Agency (UBA).9
Fig. 2 Annual mean grid emission factor for Germany in 2020, according to different sources (IEA,6,7 EEA8 and UBA9). UBA 1–UBA 4 represent four different approaches to calculating a grid EF, varying the aspects impact metric (CO2, CO2-equivalents), inclusion of electricity trade (with, w/o) and system boundaries (direct, life-cycle emissions). UBA 1: CO2, w/o trade, direct emissions; UBA 2: CO2, with trade, direct emissions; UBA 3: CO2e, w/o trade, direct emissions; UBA 4: CO2e, w/o trade, life-cycle emissions. |
As illustrated in the figure, the disparity in reported grid EF values is significant, with the lowest being 31.5% smaller than the highest. At least part of this divergence stems from variations in calculation methodologies. For instance, the UBA differentiates between an electricity production (w/o trade) and consumption (with trade) perspective, operational (direct/combustion) versus life-cycle (including upstream and downstream) emissions, and CO2versus CO2-equivalents (including multiple GHG instead of only CO2). The result are UBA values ranging from 369 to 432 g CO2(e) per kW h.
The GHG Protocol Scope 2 Guidance provides limited advice on these methodological aspects, suggesting only that electricity trade across borders should not be factored into the EF.4 It falls short in offering guidance on other aspects or recommending specific data sources. Consequently, an organization aiming to report lower Scope 2 emissions could technically achieve a one-third reduction simply by choosing an EF from the IEA over one from the UBA—without altering its electricity supply or consumption.
Given this landscape, and the increasing importance of reliable data on grid emissions, there is a clear need to scrutinize how grid EFs are calculated. Thus, the question arises: what constitutes a methodology for calculating a grid EF that best represents the emissions caused by the electricity consumer, and should therefore be used in Scope 2 emission accounting? Understanding the methodological aspects and choices involved in determining grid EFs, their impact on the outcomes, and issuing recommendations related to these choices is crucial.
The need for scrutinization leads to three research questions (RQs) guiding this study, each aimed at dissecting the complexities of grid emission factors (EF):
RQ1: Which methodological aspects impact the final grid-average electricity EF?
RQ2: How significant is the effect of various choices within these aspects on the outcome?
RQ3: Which methodological choices best represent the emissions from an organization's electricity consumption?
To address RQ1, we conduct a literature review of studies that calculate grid-average electricity EFs, focusing on key methodological aspects. This review also informs RQ2 as we compile insights from studies that quantify the influence of these methodological aspects. We supplement these findings with our own analysis, examining the impact of various choices within these aspects on Germany's grid EF for the years 2019–2022. Lastly, for RQ3, we offer recommendations on which choices best reflect the emissions of an organization drawing electricity from the grid.
The remaining paper is structured as follows: Section 2 dives into the existing literature to identify and assess the methodological aspects and choices that affect the grid EF calculations. Section 3 outlines the methodology and data used for our own calculations, guided by insights from the literature review. Section 4 presents the results of the analysis. In Section 5, we compare our results to prior studies and official grid EF data sources, and offer recommendations based on our findings. Finally, Section 6 contains our conclusions.
• Choice of impact metric (e.g. CO2vs. multiple GHG)
• Choice of system boundaries (e.g. operational vs. life-cycle)
• Allocation for co-generated heat (e.g. by energy vs. by exergy)
• Treatment of auto-producers (e.g. inclusion vs. exclusion)
• Treatment of auxiliary consumption (incl./excl.)
• Treatment of electricity trading (incl./excl.)
• Treatment of storage cycling losses (incl./excl.)
• Treatment of transformation & distribution (T&D) losses (incl./excl.)
• Choice of temporal resolution (e.g. annual vs. hourly)
In addition to the aspects listed above, there are additional ones that are relevant. These include the spatial and technological resolution, both of which are not covered in this study. The primary reason for excluding these aspects is data availability. The rationale behind this decision is further discussed in the ESI.†
Aspect | Abs. effect (g kW−1 h−1) | Rel. effect (%) |
---|---|---|
a Countries other than Germany. | ||
Impact metric | +9…+33 | +1.9…+5.9 |
System boundaries | +14…+69 | +2.2…+13.2 |
Co-generation of heat | +54…+60 | +9.9…11.4 |
Auto-producers | — | — |
Auxiliary consumption | +20 | +5.1 |
Electricity trade | −22…+12 | −4.0…+2.9 |
Storage cycling | +5…+6 | +1.2…+1.3 |
Transformation & distribution | — | +3.9…+4.2 |
Temporal resolutiona | — | −28…+69 |
One can observe that changing the impact metric (e.g. from CO2 to one that includes multiple GHG) increases the EF by 9–33 g kW−1 h−1 in absolute terms, which is equivalent to 1.9–5.9% in relative terms. For auto-producers the effect has not been quantified before, while for T&D losses it has only been quantified in relative terms. For the temporal resolution, the effect has only been quantified for countries other than Germany.
The literature review covered in this section addresses RQ1, and to some extent also RQ2: nine methodological aspects influencing the grid EF have been identified, and for most of them, the effect that these aspects have on the grid EF have been quantified. However, no study provides a comprehensive analysis using consistent assumptions and data across all aspects, which is the focus of the subsequent sections.
The four primary input data sources are the IPCC (characterization factors), Eurostat (low resolution energy data), ENTSO-E (high resolution energy data) and the UBA (primary energy referenced EF). The input data does not match in all cases with respect to the categories used to describe fuels/energy carriers (e.g. fossil gas is used by ENTSO-E, natural gas by Eurostat). Thus, mapping is required to match the different types of categories. Finally, in multiple calculation steps, the input data is combined and transformed.
The first part of these calculations are conducted at the generator level, i.e. separate EF exist for individual production types (e.g. hard coal, wind onshore). The second part occurs at the grid level, where individual fuels/energy carriers cannot be not distinguished anymore. The following sections describe in more detail each of the three layers of the methodology depicted in Fig. 3.
• Comprehensive
• Relevant to the German context
• Available for/applicable to the years 2019–2022
• Consistent with all methodological aspects
The ESI,† provides more information on each data source and any necessary pre-mapping adjustments.
Aspect | Choices |
---|---|
TH100: all emissions allocated to heat; EN: emissions allocated by energy; IEA: IEA allocation method; UBA: UBA allocation method; EX: allocation by exergy; EL100: all emissions allocated to electricity; MAPonly: emissions and electricity from main-activity producers only; APem: emissions from all generators (main-activity producers and auto-producers), electricity from main-activity producers only; APen: emissions from main-activity producers only, electricity from all generators; MAP&AP: emissions and energy from all generators. | |
Impact metric | CO2, GWP100, GWP20 |
System boundaries | OP, LC |
Co-generation of heat | TH100, EN, IEA, UBA, EX, EL100 |
Auto-producers | MAPonly, APem, APen, MAP&AP |
Auxiliary consumption | With, w/o |
Electricity trade | With, w/o |
Storage cycling | With, w/o |
Transformation & distribution | With, w/o |
Temporal resolution | High (15 min), low (1 year) |
The choices outlined in Table 2 represent a broad spectrum found in the literature. For Co-generation of heat, we introduce two new choices not previously found in the literature reviewed in this study. EX, or allocation by exergy, is commonly used in CHP units,58,59 even though it was not featured in the literature review. TH100, which allocates all emissions to heat, serves as a counterpoint to EL100, which allocates all emissions to electricity. The ESI,† contains a section breaking down the calculation steps from mapped input data to finalized grid EFs in detail.
Fig. 4 Temporal summary of 2304 unique grid EFs for Germany from 2019 to 2022. The plot captures the minimum, maximum and the range in between for each time point. |
The figure differentiates by year, revealing noticeable temporal variability. Extreme values range from approximately 100 to nearly 1000 g CO2(e) per kW h. However, it is difficult to perceive other temporal trends, e.g. how the EF has evolved over the years or how the different EF configurations are distributed around the mean. For an alternative view, Fig. 5 presents a histogram of the annual mean grid EFs for these configurations.
This histogram is based on the same data as Fig. 4, but depicts the annual average instead of 15 minute values. The plot indicates the share of all 2304 grid EF configurations falling into a certain bin. For example, for 2020, most configurations (>15%) fall into the bin ranging from 300 to 320 g CO2(e) per kW h. Additionally, one can observe that the mean of all configurations shifts over the years, reaching its lowest point in 2020 with 336.7 g CO2(e) per kW h. The data further reveal that the smallest and largest annual mean grid EFs can differ by a factor of three, e.g. ranging from about 200 to 600 g CO2(e) per kW h for the year 2020.
The analysis reveals that, when broken down by year, a GWP100-based EF tends to be 5.0–5.9% higher than a CO2-based EF. Similarly, a GWP20-based EF exhibits an average increase of 12.4–14.8% over a CO2-based EF. The trend across years is consistent with Fig. 4 and 5: the mean values are lowest for the year 2020 and highest for the year 2022. The fact that GWP20 values are consistently higher than GWP100 values, which are again higher than CO2 values, aligns with our expectations. GWP covers multiple climate-change-relevant substances, while CO2 represents only one. GWP20 has higher characterization factors for methane (CH4) than GWP100, which explains the difference between these two metrics.
It is apparent that while the grid EF changes from year to year, reaching a low point in 2020, the pattern throughout a typical day remains relatively stable. The grid EF is typically highest in the morning and in the evening, and lowest at night and around midday. However, the ‘dip’ at night becomes less pronounced and is barely detectable for the year 2022.
Other temporal patterns besides inter-annual and intraday changed in the grid EF can be observed as well. Fig. 8 illustrates how the grid EF varies throughout the day, distinguishing between weekdays and weekends, as well as between seasons.
The plot demonstrates how the overall mean grid EF tends to be lower on weekends than on weekdays, with the exception of the winter season. The overall mean grid EF further tends to be lowest in the spring and highest in the fall and in the winter. The grid EF variation throughout the day is most pronounced in the spring and in the summer, and least pronounced in the winter. Finally, the range between the 5th and the 95th percentile is notably narrower in the summer than in the winter.
A more detailed analysis of temporal trends, including possible explanations for the patterns described above, and a correlation analysis with overall generation, can be found in the ESI.†
Fig. 9 presents the grid load profile for an exemplary electricity consumer, the Battery Lab Factory (BLB) in Braunschweig, Germany (for details on the BLB, see e.g. ref. 60–62). The figure also displays the corresponding grid EF for Germany during the same time frame, in both high and low temporal resolutions. The configuration chosen for the grid EF is the one recommended in Section 5.2.1.
The grid load profile reveals typical daily and weekly patterns, with a base electrical load ranging from 10 to 40 kWel. Notably, a drop in demand is observed around the holiday season at the end of december. The mean load hovers around 50 kWel, while the grid EF shows significant fluctuations, averaging between 430–440 g CO2e per kW h.
Eqn (1) and (2) detail the computational steps for determining total emissions at both resolutions.
(1) |
(2) |
Fig. 10 Benchmarking of our findings against prior research (data on prior research from Table 1). The plot delineates the effect range for each methodological aspect, defined as the relative difference in grid EF arising from different choices within each aspect. Note that the reference range (blue bar) for temporal resolution is the only one that does not refer to values for Germany, but other countries. |
For impact metric, our findings indicate a larger effect than previous studies. However, when only comparing CO2 and GWP100 (for GWP20, the effect has not been previously quantified), the effect is limited to 5.0–5.9%—well in line with previous results.
For system boundaries, our results skew towards the high end of previous findings. This may be explained by our choice of primary energy emission factors (UBA), for which the upstream emissions make up a relatively large share of the life-cycle emissions compared to other sources.
Emission allocation with respect to Co-generation of heat appears to have a much larger effect in this study than in previous research articles. However, the upper end (34.6% divergence) can be explained by comparing extreme allocation methods (all emissions allocated to heat only (TH100) vs. to electricity output only (EL100)), a comparison not found in previous studies. When comparing only the EN and the EL100 allocation method (as it was done in the only reference study for CHP allocation methods11), the relative differences between the two methods for this study (10.7–12.7%) are comparable to those from the previous study (9.9–11.4%).
For auto-producers, with up to 14.4%, the effect appears to be quite large (no previous studies have quantified this effect). However, the larger effects occur only when either only emissions or only electricity from auto-producers are considered, but not both. The difference between considering neither emissions nor electricity from auto-producers and considering both emissions and electricity from auto-producers is less than 1%.
The results for auxiliary consumption are close to those of previous studies and are based on well-documented data on gross and net electricity production.
The effect size for electricity trade in this study is similar to that documented in other studies. However, not all other studies come to the conclusion that trading reduces Germany's grid EF. The direction of the effect depends on the trade deficit, and on the grid EF of Germany compared to its neighbors' grid EF. A detailed analysis of the effect of electricity trade can be found in the ESI.†
The effect of storage cycling is relatively small for the case of Germany (0.4–0.6%), and does not differ greatly from previous findings (1.2–1.3%)
Transformation & distribution (T&D) losses, approximately in line with previous results, have a notable effect on the grid EF (5.4–5.6% in our study vs. 3.9–4.2% in previous ones).
The effect of changing the temporal resolution cannot be directly compared to other studies, since no previous study quantified the effect for Germany. The largest relative effects of +69% and +36% were observed for countries with a relatively low overall grid EF (Switzerland and France, see ESI†). In these countries, a small absolute effect results in a relatively large relative effect, due to the low baseline. For the UK, with a baseline grid EF closer to that of Germany, Mehlig et al. observe a relative effect of +4.2%. In absolute terms, this is close to the relative effect observed in our study (−3.8%; cf. Section 4.2.2).
Fig. 11 Methodological validation of this study against official grid EF data. The figure contrasts the grid EF figures from IEA, EEA, UBA, (cf.Fig. 2) against the ones generated in this study, all for Germany in 2020. The bars labeled this study (darker shade) are calculated using the methodology from this study and the methodological choices from the respective documentations.7–9 Data labels indicate the annual mean grid EF atop each bar and the relative difference between the official and our calculated figures between bars. The far-right bar, labeled Recom, shows the annual mean grid EF based on our study's recommended configuration of methodological choices (cf. Section 5.2.1). The methodological aspects defining the configurations UBA 1–UBA 4 are provided in the caption of Fig. 2. |
Our results align closely with the IEA's grid EF, deviating 1.2%. For the EEA's value, the divergence is larger, with a 4.5% difference. The gap widens considerably with the UBA's figures, with the difference ranging from 11.8% to 20.8%. Aspects that may explain this divergence include differences in the characterization factors (CF) used: the UBA relies on CF from the 5th IPCC assessment report (AR), while this study applies CF from the more recent 6th IPCC AR. Furthermore, the different data sources used may have an influence. The UBA applies a top-down approach, relying on national emission and energy statistics, while this study pursues a bottom-up approach, multiplying energy flows with production-type specific EFs. As illustrated by Unnewehr et al. these two approaches can yield different results.55
Finally, the UBA takes a different approach to electricity trade: an UBA grid EF that takes trade into account is larger than one that does not, while the opposite is true for this study. This effect can be observed when comparing the values for UBA 1 (w/o trade) and UBA 2 (with trade), and explains why the difference between this study and the official value is largest for UBA 2. Following the UBA logic, a country exporting more electricity than it imports (like Germany in 2020) has a higher grid EF after accounting for trade, while the opposite is true for this study. In addition, our study takes into account the grid EF both of the importing and of the exporting nation, while the UBA only considers the EF of the exporting nation (Germany).
Aspect | Recommended choice |
---|---|
Impact metric | GWP100 |
System boundaries | LC |
Co-generation of heat | EX |
Auto-producers | MAPonly |
Auxiliary consumption | With |
Electricity trade | With |
Storage cycling | With |
Transformation & distribution | With |
Temporal resolution | High (15 min) |
By including all losses and transformations that occur between electricity production and consumption (auxiliary consumption, electricity trade, storage cycling and T&D losses), the recommended configuration considers the consumer perspective relevant for Scope 2 accounting, meeting the relevance, completeness, and consistency criteria. The impact metric GWP100 is more complete than CO2, as it considers multiple GHG, and is consistent with most other studies, which typically use GWP100 over GWP20. Similarly, life-cycle (LC) system boundaries are more complete than operational (OP) boundaries.63 Emission allocation by exergy (EX) reflects the usefulness of the heat and electricity output energy flows better than all other allocation methods, thus meeting the relevance and accuracy criteria. Excluding generators not feeding into the grid (MAPonly) from the grid EF calculation appears to be the most consistent and accurate way of handling auto-producers among all the choices available. Including auto-producers (which do not feed electricity into the grid) in the calculation of a grid EF would be logically inconsistent. Finally, a higher temporal resolution (15 minutes) certainly yields more accurate result than a lower one (e.g. one year). For a nuanced justification of why we believe this set of choices best embodies the five guiding principles, the reader is directed to the ESI.†
However, the necessary data may not be available for all regions to calculate a grid EF with the recommended configuration. This study only demonstrates that the data is available, and the computation is viable for the case of Germany. For regions where some input data are lacking, compromises may be required. For example, should no data on the share of auto-producers in a region exist, then they may be included in the calculation of a grid EF against better knowledge. Fig. 10 can provide orientation on how much neglecting a specific aspect may potentially influence the resulting grid EF.
We identified nine key methodological aspects (e.g. impact metric, temporal resolution) that significantly influence the outcome of a grid emission factor. For each of these aspects, we explored various choices (e.g. CO2, GWP100) and quantified their impacts, some of which alter the emission factor by more than 10%. Building upon these findings, we proposed a set of recommended choices grounded in the principles of relevance, completeness, consistency, transparency, and accuracy. These recommendations are aimed at providing a more standardized approach for calculating Scope 2 emissions.
Standardized emission calculations not only benefit corporate GHG accounting, but also other areas where electricity-related emissions are relevant. Energy systems at various scales are increasingly optimized for low emissions,65 as is electric vehicle charging66 and hydrogen production.67 All these applications require a transparent and consistent calculation procedure to determine the resulting emissions.
Moreover, the study underscores the need for further standardization and harmonization in the domain of corporate GHG accounting and reporting. Various stakeholders, including practitioners, researchers, and data providers, can contribute to these standardization efforts.
In a move toward greater transparency and academic rigor, this study makes all its data and calculations openly available in the ESI.† We invite the scholarly community and interested parties to review, reuse, and build upon this foundation, further contributing to the robustness and comparability in the field of Scope 2 emissions accounting.
Footnote |
† Electronic supplementary information (ESI) available. See DOI: https://doi.org/10.1039/d3ee04394k |
This journal is © The Royal Society of Chemistry 2024 |