Ranking the accelerated weathering of plastic polymers †

The timespans over which di ﬀ erent plastics degrade in the environment are poorly understood. This study aimed to rank the degradation speed of ﬁ ve widespread plastic polymers – low density polyethylene (LDPE), polypropylene (PP), polystyrene (PS), polylactic acid (PLA) and polyethylene terephthalate (PET) – in terms of their physicochemical properties. Five of the six samples were plastic ﬁ lms with identical dimensions, which allowed the in ﬂ uence of morphology to be excluded, with a polyethylene carrier bag (PEB) tested for comparison. An accelerated weathering chamber was used to photochemically degrade samples over 41 days, with degradation monitored via mass loss and changes to carbonyl index, crystallinity and contact angle. The mass loss ranking was PP [ LDPE > PEB > PS > PLA > PET. Estimates of the time needed for complete degradation ranged from 0.27 years for PP to 1179 years for PET. Therefore, mass loss in PP proceeded more rapidly than the other polymers, which was unexpected based on previous literature and is plausibly explained by the presence of an unlisted additive which accelerated degradation. Increases in carbonyl index proceeded more rapidly in PP and LDPE than the other polymers tested. However, changes in contact angle and crystallinity did not correspond to the mass loss ranking. Therefore, monitoring the carbonyl index during accelerated weathering trials can indicate which polymers will fragment more quickly. However, alternative approaches are needed to simulate conditions where photooxidation reactions are negligible, such as the ocean ﬂ oor.


Introduction
Plastics have considerable societal benets, 1 as they are lowcost, easily formable, durable and many are bioinert.They are used across a wide range of sectors, though the highest demand (40.5% in 2020 in the EU27+3 (ref.2)) relates to packaging.
The global annual demand for plastics has reached 367 Mt annually, 2 while estimates of mismanaged global plastic waste which accumulated in the environment in 2015 ranged from 60-99 Mt. 3 The longevity of plastics poses an environmental risk: most of the plastics ever been produced remain in the environment in one form or another. 4Environmental plastics are eventually fragmented into smaller pieces, [5][6][7][8] i.e., microplastics and nanoplastics, which are typically dened as small pieces of plastic debris in the size range from 25 mm to 5 mm and from 1 to 1000 nm respectively. 9Microplastics and nanoplastics can be transported over large distances in freshwater, the marine environment, and atmosphere and have been detected in some of the most remote regions of Earth. 8,10Since they are bioavailable to a larger range of biota, including humans, 11 across multiple trophic levels, there is concern about the toxicological risk they pose to environmental and public health. 12nderstanding the environmental degradation of plastics is essential to understanding the risks posed by plastic litter, and how this varies depending on the polymer in question.Environmental degradation can release hazardous chemicals added to plastics, such as ame-retardants, stabilizers or plasticizers, 13,14 and enhance the sorption of hazardous pollutants such as polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons (PAHs), e.g., Udenby et al. 15 Several weathering processes affect environmental plastics: biodegradation, photodegradation, thermo-oxidative degradation, thermal degradation, hydrolysis 16 and mechanical degradation (abrasion).Polymer degradation can be dened as depolymerisation, overall mass loss, or complete mineralization to CO 2 and H 2 O and involves both physical (related to the bulk structure) and chemical (molecular level) changes. 6Environmental plastics will be exposed to one or more degradation mechanisms, 17 depending on the relevant environmental compartment.While literature is dominated by plastic litter in the marine environment, a recent study estimated that the amount accumulated in 2015 in soil was actually slightly higher than in the ocean, with urban soils accounting for 33% of modelled total environmental plastic. 109][20][21] It acts to weaken and embrittle plastic litter and typically precedes and fragmentation by mechanical forces, e.g., abrasion with sand or rocks, wave action and swelling-deswelling, and eventually biodegradation. 5,7,8,22Conversely, in certain environmental compartments, for example, subtropical saltmarshes where biolm formation limits transmittance of sunlight, biodegradation and mechanical abrasion can be more prevalent than photodegradation. 23he mechanism and speed of photodegradation depends on the polymer dimensions and other physicochemical properties, as well as the presence of additives. 5,6,8Polyethylene (PE) is relatively resistant to photodegradation due to a lack of chromophores in its polymer backbone (Table 1), though impurities or defects may act as chromophores to initiate photodegradation. 7,18Various types of PE are in widespread use, differentiated by their density; 8 combined they represented 30.3% of polymer demand by resin type in the EU27 + 3 in 2020. 2 Polypropylene (PP, 19.7% of polymer demand by resin type (Table 1) 2 ) follows a similar degradation pathway to PE, involving free radicals and chain scission. 18Polystyrene (PS, 6.1% of polymer demand for PS and expanded PS combined (Table 1) 2 ) has phenyl rings, which are susceptible to photodegradation (Table 1) but not biodegradation. 7,20Polyethylene terephthalate (PET, 8.4% of polymer demand (Table 1) 2 ) contains ester bonds which are susceptible to cleavage during photodegradation and hydrolysis in the natural environment. 18,24Polylactic acid (PLA) is a bioplastic, i.e. one produced from renewable biomass substrate, rather than petroleum, which is becoming increasingly popular due to its ability to degrade under industrial composting conditions. 25It exhibits similar degradation behaviour to PET. 6 While degradation mechanisms for commonly-used polymers (such as those in Table 1) are well-described, e.g., ref. 7 the timespans over which degradation takes place are poorly understood and unpredictable. 6,26Thus, many unknowns remain around the speed of degradation and persistence of plastic debris in different environmental compartments. 5Min et al. 26 used a theoretical approach to predict the degradation of a range of polymers in the marine environment, which highlighted the importance of molecular properties including crystallinity and hydrophobicity.Chamas et al. 6 highlighted the dependence of degradation speeds on plastic shape.Since degradation is essentially a surface phenomenon, the rate of mass loss is typically proportional to the surface area of the plastic particle. 6Thus, a HDPE lm was predicted to degrade 260 times faster than a bre of the same mass and crystallinity.Because environmental plastic degradation is highly uncertain, potentially occurring over decades, centuries or even millennia, accelerated weathering trials are oen used to deliver realistic experimental timeframes, e.g., ref. 24 such methodologies combine exposure to UV radiation, heat and moisture under more extreme conditions than experienced in the environment and were primarily developed to assess material suitability for outdoor applications. 27This work aimed to resolve some of the uncertainties surrounding how long plastics degrade under accelerated weathering conditions.The degradation speeds of six widespread plastics were ranked by monitoring polymer physicochemical properties.An accelerated weathering chamber was used to photochemically degrade samples in this presence of humidity, i.e., under conditions representative of the terrestrial environment.Five of the samples tested were plastic lms of identical dimensions, which allowed us to exclude the inuence of morphology on degradation speed.This approach was selected to allow us to test the hypothesis that degradation speed, at least under controlled conditions, is linked to polymer physicochemical properties.

Materials
Polymers were purchased from Goodfellow (United Kingdom) as 0.05 mm thick lms, except for the polyethylene carrier bag (PEB), which was purchased from a UK supermarket (Sainsbury's) (Table 1).The samples prepared from plastic lms had identical dimensions, which allowed us to exclude the inuence of morphology on degradation speed.Together, the resins from which these lms were produced account for over half of EU plastics demand 2 (Table 1) and they comprise what are typically the four commonest polymers on shorelines and in surface waters: PE, PP, PET and PS. 8 Smaller size fractions of environmental plastics (<1 mm) are more difficult to isolate and analyse than larger particles, but their abundance follows a power-law increase with decreasing particle size. 28For comparison, PLA and PEB and samples were also tested.Based on EU plastics demand for resin types, polyvinyl chloride (PVC) and polyurethane are respectively the third and h most abundant polymers, however, they were not selected as they are scarce in environmental samples. 8All the lms were ordered on the understanding that they did not contain additives, as none were listed in material safety data sheets, with the intention of investigating the impact of physicochemical properties on degradation speed.A deep understanding of the accelerated weathering of commonly-used polymer samples of similar dimensions without additives should arguably be a prerequisite to studying degradation in more complex systems (i.e., samples of variable dimensions with additives present exposed to representative environmental conditions).

Accelerated weathering experiments
Before handling plastic samples, disposable nitrile gloves and a cotton lab coat were put on and work surfaces were cleaned with an ethanol solution.Plastic samples were handled as little as possible, and only with metal tongs or scissors.Samples were cut into rectangles with an exposure area of 7.5 × 15 cm 2 before being put into the weathering chamber.Aer being removed from the weathering chamber samples were stored for 24 h in carboard boxes before being analysed.Accelerated weathering was conducted in a QUV tester (Q-Lab, USA), the spectral irradiation of which was calibrated by the manufacturer shortly before the weathering trial commenced.Samples were exposed to repeated cycles of eight hours' UVA irradiance (0.76 W m −2 and UVA-340 nm, which simulates sunlight in the critical short wavelength region from 365 nm down to the solar cutoff of 295 nm, with a peak emission at 340 nm) at 60 °C, followed by four hours' condensation, with humidity created by an open water bath, following Cycle K of ISO 4892-3 (ref.29) (Table ESI-1 of the ESI †), which species standard methods for simulating the weathering of materials are exposed to solar radiation.Separate samples were collected for characterization nine times over a period of 41 days (Table ESI-2 †).The individual sample taken for each plastic type at each timepoint was not returned to the weathering chamber.Sample masses were based on three measurements in the 24 h period aer removal from the weathering chamber, aer a preliminary trial demonstrated that masses of triplicate samples did not vary by more than repeated measurements of the same sample.For differential scanning calorimetry (DSC) and contact angle measurements, three different locations or subsamples were analysed from within the whole sample, and four locations were analysed using Fourier-transform infrared (FTIR) spectroscopy.Results given in the paper are mean values of these replicate measurements, with error values based on their standard deviation.Mass loss during weathering was recorded at each time interval, as follows: where m 0 is the initial mass of the material (day 0) and m t is the mass at each time interval.

Characterization
2.3.1.Fourier-transform infrared (FTIR) spectroscopy.FTIR spectra were measured from 500-4000 cm −1 , with a resolution of 4 cm −1 and 16 scans per spectrum (Spectrum 400 instrument, PerkinElmer, United States).For each sample, FTIR was performed at four different positions with displayed spectra averages of these four positions.Both automatic and manual baseline correction were compared using SpectraGryph 1.2 spectroscopy soware.The latter showed the best results, so the baseline was manually corrected in each spectrum.The carbonyl index is commonly used to monitor photochemical oxidation reaction in polymers, e.g., ref. 30-33.Multiple methods for determining carbonyl index are reported in literature. 31,32In this study, it was calculated from the ratio between the integrated absorbance of the carbonyl (C]O) peak between 1850 and 1650 cm −1 and the methylene (CH 2 ) peak between 1500 and 1420 cm

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Carbonyl Index ðCIÞ ¼ area under band 1850 À 1650 cm À1 area under band 1500 À 1420 cm À1 Peak areas were calculated using SpectraGryph 1.2 spectroscopy soware.
2.3.2.Differential scanning calorimetry (DSC).DSC is a thermal analysis technique which provides information about how the physical properties of a sample change with temperature.In this study DSC analysis was performed using a DSC Q1000 V9.9 Build 303, TA instrument (USA).For analysis, samples (5.2 ± 0.3 mg) were placed in 40 mL sealed aluminium pans and measured under a nitrogen atmosphere at a ow rate of 25 mL min −1 .Measurements consisted of the following four sequential steps: (1) heating from −10 °C to 180 °C (280 °C for PET); ( 2) temperature maintained at 180 °C (280 °C for PET) for 3 min, (3) cooling to −10 °C and (4) heating to 180 °C (280 °C for PET).All steps were carried out a constant temperature change rate of 10 °C min −1 .The degree of crystallinity (X c ) was calculated as follows: ][36] 2.3.3.Contact angle.Contact angle can measure the changing hydrophilicity of polymers, due to the formation of polar functional groups, during weathering. 31,37Contact angles were measured through the sessile drop method with deionized water. 38Droplets were produced using a syringe with needle of internal diameter 1.5 mm, small enough to eliminate the effect of gravity on the droplet shape. 39Photographs of the droplets were taken with a high-resolution camera in a Data Physics OCA40 contact angle analyser.Negligible differences between the le and right hand side of the droplets were observed, with the average of both sides reported.At least three replicates were tested for each sample, with areas which were cracked or curled avoided where possible.
2.3.4.Calculation of specic surface degradation rate.Overall mass loss from the initial polymer sample was dened according to Chamas et al.: where the constant k d (m s −1 ) is the specic surface degradation rate (SSDR), r (kg m −3 ) is plastic density and SA is the sample surface area.Rearrangement of eqn (4) led the same authors to derive an expression for the specic surface degradation rate based on experimental mass loss data for each time interval: Chamas and co-workers subsequently derived an expression for the time needed for complete degradation of the initial polymer piece (t d ) for a single specic surface degradation rate, assuming constant density and surface area. 6Degradation in this context refers to overall mass loss from the initial polymer piece, which does not necessarily change the total amount of plastic present, as mineralisation is not an implied end result. 6 Eqn (6) was modied in the current work to account for the two-phase degradation observed experimentally during the study, which comprised of an initialisation and an acceleration phase: where i and a refer to the initialisation and acceleration phase, respectively.

Mass loss and bulk polymer degradation
In this study, mass loss was dened as overall mass loss from the initial polymer piece, as calculated by the mass difference between day 0 and the corresponding time interval (Fig. 1a).The mass loss of PP lm was more noticeable than for the other plastics, especially aer 16 days of accelerated weathering, reaching a mass loss of 36.8% aer 41 days.During the rst 15 days of weathering the mass loss of all polymers, including PP, was negligible (Fig. 1a).LDPE showed the second highest mass loss during the weathering trial, 5.8%, while PEB and PS lost respectively 3.7 and 1.1% of their mass (Fig. 1a).The mass loss of the PLA and PET lms was less than the other polymers, reaching only 0.14% and 0.01%, respectively aer 41 days of accelerated weathering.Thus, the overall order of mass loss was PP [ LDPE > PEB > PS > PLA > PET.Photos of weathered samples revealed subtle physical differences caused by degradation.Aer 32 days of weathering, the PP and PEB samples, which experienced higher mass loss than the other polymers, exhibited an obvious curl, while there was a slight curl in the LDPE lm surface (Fig. 1c).Physical changes in PS lm related to changing colour and brittleness (Fig. 1c).Discoloration had started by 16 days of weathering and then rapidly increased over time.It is established that PS exhibits yellowing during photodegradation, caused by the formation of conjugated double bonds 40,41 and is considered more susceptible to weathering than PP or PE in the presence of UV-irradiation. 7Aer 22 days of exposure, obvious cracks and imperfections appeared on the PP lm surface, and small cracks on the PEB lm surface, whereas the surface of the PE lm was little changed.These can be ascribed to the enhanced diffusion of water out from the bulk phase of the PP and PEB lms, which generated increased surface area, subsequently leading to enhanced oxidative degradation. 42,43

Crystallinity
Crystallinity increased over time for all plastics, except PET (Fig. 2a).Data variability, based on the standard deviation of triplicate measurements, was #4% in all cases.The highest increases were observed for LDPE and PEB, in both cases 16% over 41 days (Fig. 2a).For PEB there was a particularly marked increase in crystallinity, from 37 ± 2% to 42 ± 1% between days 10 and 15 and by day 21 cracks were beginning to form (Fig. 2b).Overall increases for PP and PLA between the start and end of the trial were 10% and 4%, respectively (Fig. 2a).PET is resistant to thermal oxidation, despite the presence of bonds involving heteroatoms that are readily hydrolysed, 44,45 which translates into uniform crystallinity over the weathering trial.Crystallinity uctuated between 37 ± 2% and 39 ± 3% over the trial, with no overall crystallinity change aer 41 days (Fig. 2a).
Conversely, the higher increases in crystallinity observed for the LDPE, PEB and PP can be attributed to degradation of the amorphous polymer zones. 6,31,46Plastics such as PE and PP are semi-crystalline materials comprised of micro-scale hard crystallites embedded in a so amorphous matrix. 46Photo-oxidation takes place almost exclusively in the amorphous zone of plastic polymers. 5On the basis of this, it was expected that PP, which had the highest initial crystallinity of all samples tested of 45 ± 2% (Fig. 2a), would be less degradable, whereas the converse was the case, at least in terms of mass loss.In heavily degraded samples, polymer chain scission and crosslinking reactions are more pronounced 47,48 eventually leading to increased brittleness and surface cracking (Fig. 1c). 46,49For instance, for PEB, cracks were observable aer 21 days' weathering (Fig. 2b) following a pronounced increase in crystallinity, from 37 ± 2% to 42 ± 1%, between days 10 and 15 of exposure.Regarding PS, over the experimental temperature range (from −10 to 180 °C), the glass transition temperature was observed at

Contact angle
For all samples, contact angle decreased with weathering, due to increased hydrophilicity of the polymer surface (Fig. 3a).The most pronounced reductions in contact angle aer 41 days of accelerated weathering were observed for PS, PP, PEB and LDPE: 39 ± 4%, 36 ± 9%, 34 ± 4% and 24 ± 3% relative to initial contact angle values, respectively (Fig. 3a).Hydrophilic surfaces have higher surface energies and wettability, causing lower contact angles than for more hydrophobic surfaces. 51,52This can be ascribed to the formation of polar functional groups, such as -OH and C]O, due to oxidative degradation reactions, 7 as illustrated for PP in Fig. 3c.Thus, in general it is expected that polymer weathering results in decreased contact angles, e.g., ref. 52 photos displaying contact angle droplets aer 0, 21 and 41 days of the trial are shown in Fig. 3b for PP and for the other polymers in Fig. ESI-4 † initial, i.e., before weathering, contact angles for PET and PLA were 71°and 74°(Fig.3a).Conversely, contact angles for the other polymers were higher and ranged from 94-101°.The structures of PET and PLA already contain carbonyl groups which means they have more hydrophilic surfaces than the other plastics tested (Table 1).LDPE, PEB, PP and PLA all showed strong negative linear correlations (r # −0.82,Table ESI-3 †) between contact angle and mass loss.
Relative reductions in contact angle for PLA and PET were respectively 12 ± 3% and 8 ± 2%, less than for the other polymers.This pattern follows the same trend as their mass loss relative to the other polymers, re-emphasising their slower degradation and overall similar chemical behaviour.The degradation of PET under landll/compost/soil conditions was estimated to be unmeasurably slow, 6 while the degradation of both PET and PLA in seawater is slower than expected on the basis of their chemical functionality. 26Further, PLA cups degraded more slowly than six other types of conventional, biobased and biodegradable plastics (including HDPE, PS and recycled PET) over 32 weeks in a saltmarsh. 53

Carbonyl index
Increased carbonyl index over time was observed for all samples, except PET and PLA (Fig. 4).All polymers except for PS demonstrated strong positive linear correlations (r $ 0.8, Table ESI-3 †) between carbonyl index and mass loss data.The appearance of carbonyl groups during weathering is indicative of photochemical oxidation and moreover demonstrates the polymers are photolabile and susceptible to further degradation. 5,45For PP, there was a marked increase in carbonyl index between 27 and 36 days of weathering (Fig. 4).LDPE and PEB showed a similar trend, though the increases were less pronounced than for PP.In general, these data agree with previous work describing increases in the carbonyl index during photodegradation of PP and polyethylene. 31,32,48egarding PET and PLA, since the FTIR spectra of unweathered samples already exhibited strong bands in the carbonyl region (Fig. ESI-1 †), new bands could not be easily detected because they potentially would overlap with existing peaks.Both polymers showed a slight decrease, followed by slight increase, in carbonyl index over the accelerated weathered trial, with overall no notable change (Fig. 4).Nonetheless, FTIR spectra of PET and PLA showed some changes in both the carbonyl group (1712 cm −1 ) and hydroxyl group (3500 cm −1 ), which indicates photochemical oxidation reactions were occurring, since both these functionalities are known to be

Discussion: ranking polymer degradation
In this study it was hypothesized that the speed of mass loss, at least for constant surface area, can be explained by polymer physicochemical properties.However, this was found to be only partly the case.PP, followed by LDPE, were the polymers with fastest mass loss and did show a more dramatic increases in carbonyl index than the other polymers tested (Fig. 4).The underlying molecular basis for why these parameters proceeded more rapidly in PP and LDPE than the other polymers tested is obscure.The presence of tertiary carbons in PP makes photochemical degradation more rapid than for PE. 7 Furthermore, Song et al. 22 reported that less energy is required to break chemical bonds present in PP than PE and expanded polystyrene (EPS).Nonetheless, both PET and polystyrene contain chemical functionalities which absorb UV irradiation (i.e.chromophores), which theoretically should make them more susceptible to photodegradation than either PP or PE. 7 These data can be explained by the occurrence of irregularities, impurities or additives in the plastic surface, with unpredictable distribution, and which are not captured by physicochemical characterisation, being key to initiating degradation, as literature indicates, e.g.ref. 7.
Changes in contact angle and crystallinity did not correspond to the mass loss ranking.Crystallinity in particular is said to be an important property with respect to polymer degradation. 5,6,26However, PP had the highest initial crystallinity, 45%, of the six samples tested (Fig. 2), which would be expected to reduce degradation speed.While all lms used in the study were purchased on the understanding they were additive free, the supplier subsequently indicated that commercially available PP invariably contains unlisted antioxidant/s designed to prevent degradation during processing (personal communication with Goodfellow), since PP without additives is inherently unstable and will degrade in the presence of air. 54This makes it problematic to obtain additive free PP.The identity of additives present in the PP lm was unknown to the supplier, however, phenolic compounds are typically used for this purpose. 54None of the other lms contained any UV-stabilisers, colourants or other additives that we are aware of.Thus, the most plausible explanation for the observed mass loss ranking is that the PP sample used contained an unlisted antioxidant additive (see Section 2.1), which acted as a chromophore to initiate and stimulate photochemical weathering.A similar example was recently reported, where Irgafos 168, a widespread phosphite polymer additive which also contains tert-butylphenyl groups 55 was found to increase PP degradation by a factor of four aer an initialisation phase. 56Similarly, the addition of three low molecular-weight additivesbenzophenone, anthraquinone and benzoyl peroxideaccelerated the photodegradation of polystyrene. 41The sample of PP tested in the current study likely contained Irgafos 168 or another additive with a similar impact on degradation.
It is interesting to compare the ranking of polymer mass loss obtained in the current study with relevant literature (Table 2).During accelerated weathering in air then mechanical abrasion by sand, particle release was in the order expanded PS pellet > PP pellet > PE pellet, 22 whereas in demineralised water, a PS coffee-cup lid or PLA beverage cup released more particles at two of the three size ranges measured than other plastics studied (PP, PE and PET,  View Article Online fastest degrading plastic, depending on the environmental compartment.Overall, it is notable that there is no consensus in literature regarding the ranking of polymer degradation, even between accelerated weathering studies (e.g., Table 2).However, this is perhaps not surprising given that (i) most other studies do not use samples of standardised dimensions (ii) experimental weathering conditions vary and (iii) additives are typically unknown and can have contradictory effects on degradation speed.The specic surface degradation rate (SSDR or k d ) was introduced by Chamas et al. 6 as a standardised metric for quantifying the environmental degradation of plastics, which can be used to calculate the time needed for complete degradation (t d , see eqn ( 5)-( 7)).In this study SSDR values (Fig. 5) were calculated from experimental mass loss data (eqn (5)).Chamas et al. 6 suggested that for thin plastic lms, of the type used in this study (0.05 mm thick), surface area and specic surface degradation rate can be regarded as constant during environmental degradation.Since Fig. 1 demonstrates that the slow initialisation phase lasted until 15 days, this value was taken as the start of the acceleration phase, and t d values were calculated using the nal time interval of the weathering trial, when mass loss of the acceleration phase was essentially linear (eqn (7), Fig. 1).
Fig. 5 shows that specic surface degradation rates were temporally variable over the timespan of the trial, rather than uniform.Moreover, the assumption of constant surface area is not appropriate once samples enter the acceleration phase, with estimates of t d values likely to be overestimates.It should also be remembered that accelerated weathering utilises more extreme conditions than typical of real-life, and the degradation reported here is faster than would be experienced by environmental plastics.Thus, calculated t d values (Fig. 5) are associated with a relatively high error and are not intended to replicate environmental degradation.Nonetheless, they are helpful for ranking polymer degradation providing and approximate estimates of the time required for complete degradation, which can be rened in future work, for example, by modifying for situations where assumptions of constant surface area and/or density do not apply.Given its dependence on mass loss data, the ranking of t d follows (Fig. 5).Values for t d ranged from 0.27 years for PP, the fastest degrading polymer, to 1179 years for PET, the slowest degrading polymer (Fig. 5).
In the current study, experimental conditions were eight hours of UV irradiation, followed by four hours of moisture, similar to terrestrial locations with heavy rainfall, e.g., the tropics.However, it is considered unwise to make a quantitative correlation with a real-world scenario without rst performing validation using outdoor weathering under relevant conditions. 58Conversely, for submerged plastic particles, such as in sediment or the ocean oor, or those covered in biolm, photochemical reactions will be negligible and parameters which monitor them (e.g., carbonyl index) are not expected to relate to mass loss.Thus, simulated degradation trials should look beyond accelerated weathering methodologies in such circumstances.For instance, long-term trials under representative environmental conditions, which account for degradation pathways other than photochemical oxidation, e.g., biodegradation.Overall, this study provides baseline information about the accelerated weathering of polymer lms under standardised conditions, i.e., samples of the same dimensions and without additives where practicable.More research is required to properly understand the degradation behaviour of commercial plastics containing a representative range of additives, including determining the identity and concentration of additives present.Moreover, the current work illustrates the perils of trying to predict the mass loss of polymers based on polymer physicochemical properties.In most cases the additives present in a plastic product are unknown, as they are unlisted by the manufacturer (and potentially vary between production sites or even batches) and can either accelerate 41 or suppress 54 polymer degradation.This is likely to make theoretical predictions of environmental polymer degradation inaccurate.Chamas et al. 6 admit that extrapolations or predictions of this type "are fraught with uncertainty".Greater transparency from polymer manufacturers regarding the type and amount of additives present in their products will help to improve the accuracy of future predictions of environmental plastic degradation.A similar point has been made previously about the need for increased transparency regarding chemical identities in polymer regulations. 59In the absence of specic information about the identity of additives present in plastics, experimental weathering trials, rather than theoretical predictions, are arguably required to accurately monitor degradation speed.

Conclusions
This study investigated relationships between the mass loss of widespread plastic polymers and their physicochemical properties during accelerated weathering.The key contributions to knowledge are as follows: The overall order of mass loss was PP [ LDPE > PEB > PS > PLA > PET.Using experimental data to extrapolate the time needed for total mass loss from the initial polymer piece provided estimates from 0.27 years for PP to 1179 years for PET under accelerated weathering conditions.
Mass loss and increases in carbonyl index proceeded more rapidly in PP and LDPE than the other polymers tested.However, changes in contact angle and crystallinity did not correspond to mass loss.As such, the carbonyl index is an indicator of which polymers will experience mass loss more rapidly.
To the best of our knowledge, none of the lms contained additives, except for PP, which contained an unlisted antioxidant additive believed to have accelerated mass loss.Therefore, this study illustrates the perils of making theoretical predictions of mass loss based on polymer physicochemical properties.

Fig. 1
Fig. 1 Temporal mass loss for six selected polymers during accelerated weathering.Average quantities ± standard deviations were obtained by weighing each sample three times 24 h after removal from the weathering chamber (n = 3).The photos in (a) show PP at selected time intervals, while (b) magnifies data for all polymers except PP.The top, middle and bottom rows of photos in (c) show PS, PEB and LDPE respectively.

Fig. 2
Fig. 2 Crystallinity of selected plastics during accelerated weathering (a) and photos showing PEB after days 15 and 21 (b).DSC parameters are expressed as average quantities ± standard deviations from analysing three different subsamples for each sample (n = 3).

Fig. 3
Fig. 3 (a) Changes in contact angle over 41 days of accelerated weathering.Contact angle values are expressed as average quantities ± standard deviations from analysing three different subsamples for each sample (n = 3), (b) photos of contact angle droplets produced by PP after days 0, 21 and 41 of the trial and (c) FTIR spectra for PP after the same time periods.

Fig. 4
Fig. 4 (a) Temporal change in carbonyl index during accelerated weathering for different polymer samples.Carbonyl index values are expressed as average quantities ± standard deviations of three different subsamples for each sample (n = 3).(b) Magnifies the carbonyl index for selected polymers.

Table 1
Sample codes, EU plastic demand in 2020 and chemical structure for selected polymers

Table 2 (
6ef.57)).Meanwhile, Chamas et al.6predicted theoretical mass loss based on 25 references and found that either a LDPE bag or PET water bottle were the