Open Access Article
Luka Mamić
*abc,
Mj Riches
bd,
Rose K. Rossell
b and
Delphine K. Farmer
*b
aDepartment of Civil, Building and Environmental Engineering, Sapienza University of Rome, Via Eudossiana 18, 00184, Rome, Italy. E-mail: luka.mamic@uniroma1.it
bDepartment of Chemistry, Colorado State University, 1301 Center Ave Mall, 80523-1872, Fort Collins, Colorado, USA. E-mail: delphine.farmer@colostate.edu
cInterdepartmental Research Centre in Geomatics (CIRGEO), University of Padua, Corte Benedettina - Via Roma 34, 35020, Legnaro, Italy
dDepartment of Agricultural Biology, Colorado State University, 307 University Ave, 80523-1101, Fort Collins, Colorado, USA
First published on 3rd February 2026
Ground-level ozone (O3) is a major constraint on agricultural productivity, yet most knowledge comes from controlled fumigation experiments using chronic exposures that differ from the episodic conditions crops experience in the field. Here, we combine a five-week chamber experiment with multi-year satellite observations (2018–2021, Arkansas, U.S.) to investigate how O3 affects photosynthesis, efficiency, and growth across scales of soybean plants (Glycine max). At the leaf level, initial O3 fumigation (80 ppb for 4 h) caused the strongest suppression of CO2 assimilation (A), stomatal conductance (Gs), and photosystem II efficiency (ΦPSII), indicating entry into a physiological strain phase. Recovery between exposures was incomplete, leading to sustained growth reductions despite moderate O3 levels. At the regional scale, analysis of solar-induced fluorescence (SIF) and MODIS productivity metrics revealed parallel patterns. Early-season O3 episodes produced greater suppression of SIF, GPP, and Gs compared to equivalent late-season events, and recovery lagged for several weeks. Seasonal yield proxies were best explained not by total O3 accumulation, but by early- and peak-season exposures, which accounted for up to 98% of variance across four growing seasons. Our findings highlight that the timing of O3 episodes is more consequential than cumulative dose, and that functional indicators such as SIF can detect strain-phase stress before structural indices diverge. By linking controlled experiments with regional-scale satellite monitoring, this study advances mechanistic understanding of O3 impacts on soybean and supports the development of remote sensing-based early warning tools for crop management.
Environmental significanceGround-level ozone (O3) is a pervasive air pollutant that threatens food security, but most risk assessments are based on chronic, elevated exposures that poorly represent real agroecosystems. By linking controlled fumigation experiments with multi-year satellite observations, this study shows that the timing of O3 exposure, particularly during early and peak growth stages, is more damaging to soybean productivity than total seasonal dose. Even moderate, short-term O3 episodes, under current regulations, suppressed photosynthesis, slowed canopy development, and reduced yield proxies under otherwise healthy field conditions. We further demonstrate that solar-induced chlorophyll fluorescence can detect O3 stress before visible damage occurs, offering a scalable tool for monitoring crop vulnerability. |
While there is a broad understanding of O3-plant interactions, many details remain unclear, such as species-specific physiological responses,10 the mechanisms underlying photosynthetic and metabolic impairments,11 and interactions with climatic and agronomic factors.12 Plants primarily regulate O3 entry through stomatal control, yet stomatal uptake accounts for only ∼45% of total ecosystem-level O3 deposition, with the remainder occurring via non-stomatal pathways such as uptake by cuticular surfaces, soil, and wet leaf films.5 These non-stomatal routes are especially important in dry conditions when stomata are partially closed, as harmful oxidative stress may persist internally,13 eventually impairing photosynthesis and accelerating senescence which leads to yield losses in sensitive crops.9,14 Felzer et al.15 used a coupled biosphere-atmosphere model to estimate that, under extreme conditions, surface O3 could reduce global crop yields by up to 20% for wheat and 60% for soybeans by 2100. These reductions stem from the chronic suppression of photosynthesis and biomass accumulation based on dose–response functions from chamber and field experiments built into their model. When these losses were integrated over time and scaled to global agricultural output, the cumulative economic loss was estimated to be up to $8 trillion. This loss would primarily affect major food-producing regions in North America and Asia. Despite recognition of this scale, most large-scale estimates still rely on simplified exposure-response functions,12,16–19 while the mechanistic pathways of O3 damage across growth stages and environments remain poorly resolved. In particular, little is known about how repeated, realistic O3 exposures interact with climatic variability to shape the transition from hidden physiological strain to visible damage and yield loss.
Plant stress can be generally described by three successive phases: (i) an initial state of applied force, (ii) a strain phase in which stress is expressed before visible damage occurs, and (iii) the damage phase, in which acute and chronic injury become visible on the leaf surface.20 These phases are particularly challenging to study under O3 exposure because they require carefully controlled fumigation with a highly reactive and toxic gas. Many experiments have relied on either a single acute pulse of unrealistically high O3 (ref. 21 and 22) or long-term chronic exposures.9,23 In contrast, O3 in the field fluctuates with the diurnal cycle and is punctuated by episodic high-O3 days.5,24 The physiological effects of repeated exposures to realistic, fluctuating concentrations may therefore differ substantially from those observed under strictly acute or chronic treatments.
Soybean, the second most widely grown crop in the United States (U.S.) and a supplier of more than one-third of global production,28 is highly susceptible to elevated O3, which significantly reduces photosynthesis, stomatal conductance (Gs), biomass accumulation, and seed yield.8,9,21 Meta-analyses report average shoot biomass reductions of up to 34% and yield reductions of ∼24% under chronic exposures near 70 parts per billion by volume (ppb) O3.9 The main physiological processes affected by O3 include carboxylation efficiency (the capacity to fix CO2 during photosynthesis), photosystem II efficiency (ΦPSII, the effectiveness of light-driven electron transport), and carbon allocation patterns (the distribution of assimilated carbon between growth and storage).8,22 Variations among cultivars and climatic conditions further complicate these responses.23
At the field scale, the SoyFACE (Soybean Free Air Concentration Enrichment) project provided critical evidence on the effects of chronic O3 under open-air, agronomic conditions. Experiments at SoyFACE demonstrated significant reductions in canopy photosynthesis, earlier leaf senescence, and lower harvest index values in soybeans exposed to elevated O3 (∼60–70 ppb average daytime concentration, sustained across full growing seasons).16,17,25–27 These physiological effects were often undetectable with canopy greenness-based indices such as the normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI), which primarily captures structural leaf area and chlorophyll content. By contrast, solar-induced chlorophyll fluorescence (SIF), a direct proxy for photochemical efficiency, and gas exchange measurements of photosynthesis and Gs provide more sensitive indicators of early stress. Using these approaches, SoyFACE studies identified the strain phase of O3 stress.26 Furthermore, SoyFACE results confirmed reproductive growth stages are especially vulnerable, showing reduced maximum rate of carboxylation (Vcmax), maximum rate of electron transport (Jmax), and faster canopy decline under elevated O3 conditions.25 While SoyFACE and similar experiments provide key insight into soybean responses, they simulated future chronic air quality scenarios by maintaining elevated O3 for entire growing seasons. In contrast, agricultural ecosystems today are often exposed to O3 in shorter, episodic bursts, such as a few hours on high-O3 afternoons, or multiple exceedance events across a season depending on location.28–30 Defining what constitutes “high O3” in agronomic terms, and understanding how repeated realistic exposures differ from strictly acute or strictly chronic treatments, remains an unresolved challenge. These differences are critical for establishing thresholds for O3 damage in soybean12,17 and for clarifying the mechanisms by which plants defend against and recover from varying O3 stress regimes.22,23
Remote sensing offers a useful pathway to investigate these knowledge gaps across agroecosystems. However, traditional remote sensing indices (e.g., NDVI) can only detect the damage phase of stress after visible morphological changes have occurred.31,32 At that stage, damage is often irreversible, as photosynthetic machinery and leaf area are already degraded and yield potential cannot be recovered.9,25 However, if the stressor is removed during the strain phase, the plant can partially recover and reestablish a new physiological standard.20 SIF is a promising parameter for detecting the strain phase earlier. Ground-based SIF measurements can monitor photosynthetic efficiency before visible symptoms develop.26 Recently-available satellite SIF data from, for example, the TROPOspheric Monitoring Instrument (TROPOMI) onboard Sentinel-5P, provides an opportunity to identify crop stress across larger scales and in near-real time. Such analyses, however, require a mechanistic understanding of how crop fluorescence responds to O3 exposure.
This study addresses how repeated, realistic O3 exposures interact with environmental conditions to affect soybean physiology, and the need to evaluate when and how such stress becomes detectable with remote sensing. We combine a five-week plant-level exposure experiment with multi-year satellite observations of soybean fields in Arkansas, U.S. (2018–2021) to investigate O3 stress across spatial and temporal scales. Specifically, we aim to (i) identify the strain phase of O3 stress, when physiological impairment occurs before visible damage; (ii) determine when during the growing season O3 stress is most consequential for soybean development; (iii) assess the potential for recovery following episodic O3 exposure and how this differs between controlled and field conditions; and (iv) evaluate the capacity of remote sensing indicators, particularly SIF, to detect these processes at regional scale. By integrating experimental and remote sensing perspectives, our goal is to improve mechanistic understanding of O3 stress in soybean and contribute to the development of remote sensing-based early warning systems and decision-support tools for farmers and agronomists.
We emphasize that chamber and satellite results are not directly comparable because they represent very different spatial scales (leaf vs. field). Instead, our aim was to test whether the mechanisms of O3 stress observed under controlled conditions also emerge at the regional scale, linking mechanistic understanding with applied monitoring. Based on the remote sensing data, soybean fields in Crittenden County did not experience numerous extreme weather or pollution events during the observed period (Fig. S1 and S2), representing relatively healthy agroecosystems – making this study both more challenging and more relevant, as it examines O3 effects under moderate, yet realistic, conditions.
The fumigation chamber (0.61 m × 0.61 m × 0.61 m) was made of transparent, chemical-resistant, polytetrafluoroethylene film with perfluoroalkoxy and polytetrafluoroethylene Swagelok fittings coupled with clear fluorinated ethylene propylene tubing (Fig. 1). A 60 L food-grade CO2 cylinder (Sodastream) maintained mixing ratios in the chamber at ∼400 ppm. Lab air was pushed by a Gast compressor/vacuum pump (DOA-P704-AA) through a bubbler system with deionized water into the chamber to maintain RH at 65 ± 10% throughout the fumigation. Internal chamber temperature was 25 ± 2 °C. A 300 W LED grow light (MARS HYDRO) controlled light intensity at 1000 µmol m−2 s−1, measured at the top of the chamber. A Li-COR CO2/H2O gas analyzer (LI-840A) and a 2B-Technologies O3 monitor (Model 202) continuously measured chamber CO2 and O3 mixing ratios.
The five-week plant-level experiment started on 03 March 2025. During this period, 1–3 leaves from each selected plant (five leaves in total) were measured weekly using a Li-Cor LI-6800 PPS. Parameters included CO2 assimilation (A, rate of CO2 movement through the stomata) stomatal conductance (Gs, movement of CO2 and H2O through the stomata).33 We also measured maximum light-adapted fluorescence
and steady-state fluorescence (Fs) which were used to calculate ΦPSII. PPS leaf chamber conditions were set to 26 ± 0.2 °C and 63 ± 0.5% RH, equivalent to 1.36 ± 0.04 kPa VPD. These conditions matched the growth chamber environment and were representative of field conditions in Crittenden County, Arkansas (see Section 2.2, Fig. S1).
Plants were divided into two groups: three controls and three O3 fumigation plants. Both groups followed the same measurement schedule and chamber conditions. Each week, fumigated plants were exposed for four hours to 80 ± 10 ppb O3 generated by a pen-ray lamp (Analytik Jena AG) connected to the dry air inlet. This exposure corresponds approximately to an 8 hours mean O3 concentration of ∼40 ppb, which is representative of typical daytime O3 levels observed during the soybean growing season (Fig. S2). PPS measurements were taken on five leaves immediately before each exposure (pre-treatment) following a 20 minutes acclimation period, and again immediately after exposure (post-treatment). These measurements were taken immediately before and after weekly O3 exposure in the fumigation chamber; plants were otherwise continuously maintained under identical laboratory conditions. Control plants underwent the same procedure, but without O3 fumigation. This cycle was repeated weekly for five consecutive weeks, during which plants advanced through vegetative growth and began pod development (Fig. 1). The five-week chamber experiment spans early vegetative development and is designed to probe physiological responses to initial and repeated episodic O3 exposure, rather than to represent the full seasonal progression of soybean growth.
Being aware of the limited leaf-level dataset and the importance of distinguishing biological outliers from systematic ones,34,35 we applied the stricter approach of Leys et al.,36 excluding values outside three median absolute deviations (MADs) (Fig. S3). This approach minimizes the impact of errors in measurements while maintaining the most representative physiological responses. We also note that measurements of A in week five may be confounded by plants nearing the end of their life cycle or by limitations to root growth from the small containers.
The results of the chamber experiment are presented in Section 3, including analyses of (i) soybean leaf responses to initial O3 exposure, (ii) recovery potential between repeated exposures, (iii) effects of fumigation on plant growth, and (iv) the behavior of photosynthetic fluorescence parameters under subtle O3 stress.
To evaluate the impact of O3 on soybean fields at the regional scale, we integrated multiple datasets (Table 1) (Fig. 3 and S4). Ground-level O3 data from a nearby Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) monitoring station in Crittenden County provided daily 8 hours means and hourly concentrations, the latter used to calculate weekly AOT40 by summing exceedances of O3 above 40 ppb during daylight hours (08:00 to 20:00). Daily meteorological variables, including maximum temperature (Tmax), RH, VPD, grass reference evapotranspiration (ETo), and precipitation (PREC) were obtained from the University of Idaho GRIDMET dataset.38 MODIS datasets provided vegetation and productivity indicators, including 8 days cumulative gross primary production (GPP, the total carbon fixed by plants through photosynthesis summed over 8 days period),39 4 days composite fraction of photosynthetically active radiation (fPAR, the portion of incoming sunlight absorbed by the canopy), 4 days composite leaf area index (LAI, one-sided green leaf area per unit ground area), daily NDVI (derived from surface reflectance, as a measure of canopy greenness), and 3-hourly total photosynthetically active radiation (PAR, incident solar radiation in the visible spectrum (400–700 nanometers)).
| Data | Description | Units | Temporal resolution | Spatial resolution | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O3 | In situ ozone | ppb | Daily | — | EPA |
| SIF | Solar-induced fluorescence at 743 nm | mW m−2 sr−1 nm−1 | Daily | 7 × 3.5 km | ESA-TROPOSIF |
| Tmax | Maximum temperature | °C | Daily | 4.6 km | GRIDMET |
| RH | Relative humidity | % | Daily | 4.6 km | GRIDMET |
| VPD | Vapor pressure deficit | kPa | Daily | 4.6 km | GRIDMET |
| PREC | Precipitation amount | mm | Daily | 4.6 km | GRIDMET |
| ETo | Grass reference evapotranspiration | mm | Daily | 4.6 km | GRIDMET |
| GPP | Gross primary production | kgC m−2 8 days−1 | 8 day | 0.3 km | MODIS |
| PAR | Photosynthetically active radiation | W m−2 | 3 hour | 0.5 km | MODIS |
| fPAR | Fraction of photosynthetically active radiation | — | 4 day | 0.5 km | MODIS |
| LAI | Leaf area index | — | 4 day | 0.5 km | MODIS |
| NDVI | Normalized difference vegetation index | — | Daily | 0.5 km | MODIS |
SIF 743 nm data were derived from the ESA-TROPOSIF project,40 which uses daily Sentinel-5P TROPOMI measurements. Data from May 2018 to December 2021 were extracted over selected points, filtered to remove negative and extreme values, and averaged between fields to maximize signal coherence. The analysis period covered four soybean growing seasons, each defined as the period from April to September. Within each season, we further subdivided the timeframe into early, peak, and late stages based on SIF dynamics. The peak season range was defined as the four weeks before and after the maximum SIF value. The four weeks prior to the peak period were defined as the early season, and the four weeks after the peak period were defined as the late season, corresponding with senescence and harvesting (Fig. 3).
We aggregated all datasets to a weekly scale for analysis. Weekly water balance (WB) was calculated as the difference between accumulated PREC and ETo. Each of the eight 3-hourly PAR bands per day (in W m−2) was converted to photons using the standard factor for sunlight (1 W m−2 ≈ 4.57 µmol m−2 s−1) and integrated over 10
800 s (3 hours), summed across the day and then across seven days to obtain weekly incident PAR (mol m−2 weeks−1).41,42 8 day GPP was first divided by 8 to get approximate daily values and then summed across week. We calculated weekly absorbed photosynthetically active radiation (APAR) as APAR = PAR × fPAR, which was used to calculate weekly light use deficiency (LUE) as LUE = GPP/APAR, and SIFyield = SIF/APAR (efficiency of energy conversion from absorbed light into fluorescence).43,44 Following the framework of Massmann et al.,45 we further estimated Gs as a function of GPP and VPD (eqn (1)):
![]() | (1) |
This proxy eqn (1) assumes that plants open their stomata during photosynthesis (higher GPP) and close them when the atmosphere becomes drier (higher VPD), helping estimate potential O3 uptake, rather than as a direct measure of stomatal conductance.
The remote sensing allowed us to assess O3 impacts on soybean physiology at the regional scale across four growing seasons. In Section 4, we present these results, including analyses of (i) the effects of early versus late O3 episodes, (ii) the potential for recovery in the weeks following O3 episodes, (iii) the relationship between seasonal O3 accumulation and yield proxies, and (iv) changes in the coupling between vegetation health indicators under different O3 conditions. Comparisons with plant-level chamber experiments are made throughout the section to evaluate whether the mechanisms observed at the leaf level can also be detected across larger spatial and temporal scales.
In the following weeks, the pattern was reversed: control plants often showed stronger negative post-treatment reactions than fumigated plants. This finding suggests that the chamber environment itself is a stressor, confounding immediate post-fumigation responses and complicating the separation of O3 effects from chamber effects. Adding O3 as an additional stressor may have altered or masked immediate post-fumigation signals, leading to inconsistent ratios. For this reason, we interpret pre-treatment measurements in subsequent weeks as more reliable indicators of long-term O3 impact, revealing the potential for recovery, which we explore in the next section.
Pre-treatment measurements show that O3-treated plants failed to recover photosynthetic function between exposures, with sustained suppression of A, Gs, and ΦPSII indicating an ongoing physiological burden that extends beyond short-term inhibition and is reflected in the slower growth patterns described in the following section.
![]() | ||
| Fig. 6 Weekly stalk height measurements of soybean plants under O3 fumigation (red) and control conditions (blue) over a five-week period. Bars represent mean stalk height ± SE (n = 5 stalks). | ||
The impact of fumigation on growth persisted despite some recovery of gas exchange parameters in later weeks (see Section 3.2), suggesting that the effect of O3 on developmental processes extends beyond short-term photosynthetic inhibition. This reinforces the concept that chronic, sub-lethal O3 exposure slows physiological development, especially when plants are exposed early in their growth cycle. These results are consistent with SoyFACE observations, where long-term O3 exposure reduced canopy height and biomass even when visual damage was absent.25,26 However, our results further demonstrate that even more subtle and occasional changes in O3, consistent with realistic scenarios currently occurring in agricultural regions, are sufficient to suppress plant growth and reduce biomass.
and Fs) weakened and differed between treatments under repeated O3 exposure (Fig. 7). Because ΦPSII is calculated as
, these variables are not independent and nonlinear behavior is expected; however, the treatment-dependent reduction in explained variance and altered fitted relationships suggests increased variability in fluorescence-efficiency coupling under O3 stress. ΦPSII is usually tightly linked to its fluorescence components, reflecting a balance between absorbed light energy, photochemistry, and non-photochemical quenching.46
Observed decoupling indicates an imbalance between electron transport and energy dissipation, characteristic of strain-phase stress responses,20 which implies that plants under chronic O3 exposure may dissipate light energy in ways that no longer track with photochemical efficiency, an early-warning signal of impaired photosynthetic regulation.47 Furthermore, Betzelberger et al.8 argue that ΦPSII is among the most sensitive fluorescence-derived parameters to O3 stress in soybean, even when gas exchange traits partially recover and that indices based solely on Fs may fail to detect strain, highlighting why ΦPSII offers a more mechanistic indicator of early stress.
Note that discussed decoupling was not observed in immediate post-treatment measurements, where
and Fs maintained similar slopes and R2 with ΦPSII for fumigated and non-fumigated plants (Fig. S5). This close relationship reinforces the idea, emphasized in previous sections, that the impact of O3 is not immediately visible after exposure, but emerges over longer timescales and disrupts the functional link between fluorescence signals and ΦPSII efficiency.
![]() | ||
| Fig. 8 Vegetation health indicators values compared between the first and later O3 episodes of equivalent AOT40 increase (>350 ppb h) within each growing season (2018–2021). Panels show (A) SIF, (B) fPAR, (C) Gs, (D) GPP, (E) NDVI, and (F) LAI. Bars represent absolute mean weekly values of each indicator (units as in Table 1) ± SE across four paired episodes; no baseline normalization or temporal smoothing beyond weekly aggregation was applied. Asterisks indicate significance levels (*p < 0.05). | ||
Across all four years, the first O3 episode of the season had a significantly stronger negative impact on functional indicators compared to equivalent exposures later in the season. SIF, GPP, fPAR, and Gs all showed significantly lower values during early-season episodes, while NDVI and LAI, which follow structural canopy development were not significantly different between two episodes. Notably, in 2020 and 2021 the first major O3 episodes occurred later within the early growing period (Table S1), yet the relative suppression during first versus later episodes was comparable to that observed in 2018 and 2019, suggesting that the response is not solely driven by absolute seasonal timing. These findings mirror the leaf-level results (Section 3.1), where the first O3 fumigation caused the largest drop in A and Gs, while following exposures triggered more muted responses as plants initiated partial defense mechanisms. Together, our results emphasize that the soybean is particularly vulnerable to O3 early in its vegetative cycle, when photosynthetic capacity and resource allocation patterns are still being established.8
Physiologically, early vulnerability could be the result of the rapid development of sink capacity, which promotes O3 uptake and amplifies oxidative stress.9,21 At this stage, antioxidant defenses and photoprotective processes have not yet fully developed, leaving ΦPSII particularly vulnerable to disruption.22,23 This seasonal sensitivity is consistent with FACE experiments, in which chronic O3 exposure accelerated senescence and reduced photosynthetic capacity, particularly during reproductive development.25,26 Our results extend these insights by demonstrating that short-term, episodic O3 events, found in agricultural regions – well below regulatory thresholds and chronic FACE exposures – can induce measurable strain when they occur early in the season. The strong suppression of SIF (A) and GPP (D) during these episodes underscores their value as functional indicators for detecting O3 stress before visible canopy changes occur (E and F), in line with regional studies reporting stronger SIF–O3 coupling during early vegetative stages.16,17
![]() | ||
| Fig. 9 Recovery of functional vegetation indicators (GPP, Gs, and SIF) following the first (dark bars) vs. later (light bars) seasonal O3 episodes (ΔAOT40 > 350 ppb h). Bars show absolute mean weekly values of each indicator (units as in Table 1) ± SE across four growing seasons (2018–2021); no baseline normalization or temporal smoothing beyond weekly aggregation was applied. Asterisks indicate significance levels (*p < 0.05). | ||
Results show that functional indicators (GPP, Gs, and SIF) were consistently more suppressed in the week following the first seasonal O3 episode, compared to later episodes. In subsequent weeks, the gap between early and later episodes narrowed, suggesting canopy-scale recovery. This recovery contrasts with the chamber experiment (Section 3.2), where fumigated plants failed to recover fully between weekly exposures. The consistent stability of GPP, Gs, and SIF after later-season O3 episodes suggests that plants may adapt to previously experienced strain. Structural indicators such as LAI, fPAR, and APAR (Fig. S7) showed similar patterns – significant suppression after early episodes followed by recovery. Notably, LAI indicates that canopy development slowed after the first O3 episode, compared to later ones, consistent with chamber findings on growth suppression (Section 3.3).
The multi-week recovery lag observed after early episodes aligns with leaf-level evidence from Section 3.2. As the season progresses, acclimation and phenological shifts likely shorten this lag by increasing sink strength, enhancing antioxidant defences, and adjusting stomatal sensitivity, buffering transient O3 pulses.8,16,23 These processes, and acclimation to an earlier strain phase,20 may explain the reduced sensitivity to later O3 episodes.
This finding reinforces our plant-level results (Section 3.3), where growth suppression occurred even in the absence of visible foliar damage. Furthermore, we connect findings from Sections 3.1 and 4.1, which showed that early-season exposures leave lasting impacts while later episodes have weaker effects, highlighting that it is not the total seasonal O3 dose that determines yield losses, but rather when an elevated exposure event occurs. Early and peak stages, when plants are expanding canopies and establishing reproductive sinks, are the most consequential for O3 impacts.9,25
For real-world application, we show that monitoring and mitigating O3 during the early and peak growing season is critical for protecting yields, shedding light on potential mechanisms behind regional yield losses reported in the U.S. and Asia, where seasonal O3 episodes often cluster in late spring and early summer.18,19 Early strain detection using SIF and other functional indicators, as demonstrated in previous sections, could allow agronomists and farmers to take adaptive actions before the damage phase occurs and losses become irreversible. The seasonal distribution of O3 further supports this conclusion. For example, 2019 had the highest total accumulated AOT40 but yielded relatively well because much of the exposure occurred late in the season (Fig. S8). By contrast, the high combined early and peak season exposure of 2018 had the lowest yield. These results emphasize that policies and crop management strategies must consider seasonal timing of O3 exposure, not just seasonal totals or regulatory exceedances.
Moving beyond GPP–SIF–fPAR–Gs relationships, we also examined how O3 alters broader coordination between light absorption, fluorescence, and efficiency. Fig. 11 shows six additional relationships (APAR–GPP, APAR–SIF, LUE–Gs, LUE–SIF, SIFyield–Gs, and SIFyield–LUE) across AOT40 tertiles. These metrics explicitly link absorbed energy, stomatal control, and realized carbon gain, and therefore allow us to assess whether O3 disrupts not just single pairings but the broader chain of processes from light capture to photosynthesis.
Relationships linking absorbed light to productivity (APAR–GPP) and fluorescence (APAR–SIF) remained strong across all classes but weakened under high O3 which indicates that while canopies continued absorbing and re-emitting light, their ability to convert light into carbon gain declined, reflecting reduced LUE.8,23 Similarly, the already weak LUE–Gs relationship eroded with higher O3, consistent with additional biochemical limitations beyond stomatal control.5
Relationships between efficiency metrics collapsed at high O3. The LUE–SIF correlation, low, but present under lower exposures, disappeared in the highest class, suggesting that fluorescence no longer tracks photosynthetic efficiency under O3 stress. This canopy-scale pattern mirrors the leaf-level decoupling observed between ΦPSII and
in Section 3.4, reinforcing that O3 disrupts the coherence between photochemical signals and productivity across scales.51 On the other hand, SIFyield–LUE was almost zero under all O3 classes, indicating a full decoupling between fluorescence efficiency and realized carbon gain.
Intermediate relationships, such as SIFyield–Gs, also weakened with rising O3, suggesting that stomatal regulation of fluorescence efficiency is partly maintained but insufficient to buffer stress. These findings highlight that accumulated O3 not only weakens individual linkages but also fragments the entire chain from absorbed light → stomata → fluorescence → carbon gain.
By comparing these canopy-scale patterns with chamber experiments, we see consistent evidence that O3 drives a progressive decoupling of functional indicators. While chambers revealed leaf-level strain through impaired ΦPSII relationships, the remote sensing analysis demonstrates that the same disruption propagates across multiple efficiency metrics at the regional scale. This underscores the value of SIF and derived quantities like SIFyield for identifying when stress pushes canopies from coordinated functioning into a decoupled strain phase.
A sensitivity analysis refitting the within-tertile regressions with meteorological covariates (Fig. S10 and S11) shows that while some relationships remain similar, others change in magnitude and, in some cases, strengthen at higher O3 exposure, indicating non-monotonic responses and changes in functional coupling. We emphasize that although this sensitivity analysis is useful for accounting for key meteorological covariates, it may also mask aspects of O3 influence, as O3 is never isolated from meteorology in real-world systems. For this reason, we do not attribute the observed relationships solely to O3; instead, the tertile-based approach is used to capture changes and non-linear patterns across increasing O3 levels, rather than relying on a binary or fully detrended framework.
The controlled chamber experiments applied repeated exposures to mildly elevated O3, consistent with conditions typical of North American agroecosystems. We note that fumigation levels were below the thresholds set by the U.S. EPA for human health. The National Ambient Air Quality Standard is based on an 8 hours average of 70 ppb, while we show that exposures equivalent to a weekly 8 hours average of 40 ppb, or a 4 hours average of 80 ppb, were sufficient to cause significant stress and clear reductions in crop productivity. Our findings highlight the need for regulators to consider agricultural impacts when managing O3 precursors, which is particularly urgent given that wildfire smoke, rising temperatures, and other climate-related drivers are likely to increase regional O3 episodes in the future.52,53
At the regional scale, multi-year satellite observations confirmed that early-season O3 episodes produced stronger declines in SIF, GPP, and Gs than equivalent late-season exposures, with recovery lagging for several weeks. Seasonal yield proxies were best explained not by total O3 accumulation, but instead by exposures during early and peak growth phases, when canopies are expanding and reproductive sinks are being established. At this scale, O3 effects are evaluated under realistic environmental covariance, and results highlight changes in functional coordination rather than O3-only attribution. These findings bridge controlled and field conditions, demonstrating that even subtle, episodic O3 events can constrain soybean productivity when they occur at vulnerable stages – highlighting the potential of functional indicators such as SIF to detect stress before irreversible damage occurs.
A limitation of this study is the coarse resolution of the TROPOMI SIF product (∼7 × 3.5 km), which restricts application to small fields. Nevertheless, the physiological mechanisms identified, and detection strategies developed herein, are broadly transferable across agricultural systems. The upcoming ESA FLEX mission, dedicated to fluorescence monitoring at finer spatial scales, carries potential to enhance the applicability of these approaches, enabling earlier and more precise detection of O3 stress. Additionally, while stricter regulation of O3 precursors in agricultural regions could help protect crop productivity, such measures are difficult to implement as high O3 events often coincide with heat waves and drought, which themselves increase precursor emissions. We therefore emphasize the need to reduce ground-level O3 as part of integrated strategies for crop health and global food security in a changing climate.
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