Open Access Article
Shirley Min
Yang‡
a,
Rukayya Ibrahim
Muazu‡
b,
Enny
Tran
c,
Clifford B.
Talbot
d,
Nilay
Shah
b,
Milo S. P.
Shaffer
ac and
Agnieszka
Brandt-Talbot
*a
aDepartment of Chemistry, Imperial College London, W12 0BZ, UK. E-mail: agi@imperial.ac.uk
bDepartment of Chemical Engineering, Imperial College London, SW7 2AZ, UK
cDepartment of Materials, Imperial College London, SW7 2AZ, UK
dCentre for Neural Circuits and Behaviour, University of Oxford, OX1 3SR, UK
First published on 10th July 2025
Conventional carbon fibre manufacturing is costly and relies on fossil-based raw materials with significant environmental impacts. This study presents a new, low-cost route to biobased carbon fibres generated directly from wood by integrating ionosolv wood fractionation with carbon fibre spinning. The approach avoids isolating lignin powders by spinning lignin directly from the black liquor, offering a simpler process with a lower environmental impact. The concept is demonstrated using lignin extracted from eucalyptus wood into the recyclable ionic liquid (IL) N,N-dimethylbutylammonium hydrogen sulfate with 20% water, generating delignified cellulose pulp as a co-product. After adding non-toxic poly(vinyl alcohol) (PVA) into the lignin-containing ionic liquid (with up to a 4.7
:
1 lignin
:
PVA ratio) continuous lignin–PVA fibres were generated by spinning into an aqueous coagulation bath. Circular, homogenous fibres were formed, which were carbonised at 1000 °C, with carbon fibre yields of up to 37%. The proof-of-concept monofilament carbon fibres (452 MPa tensile strength and 43 GPa tensile modulus) outperformed carbon fibres generated from pre-isolated ionosolv eucalyptus lignin using the same fibre spinning approach. A techno-economic analysis (TEA) of the modelled process at scale suggests that carbon fibre production costs were $9.02 kg−1 for the integrated process and $9.69 kg−1 for the redissolution-spun carbon fibres, while life cycle assessment (LCA) indicated that 20.7 kg CO2-eq and 25.3 kg CO2-eq greenhouse gas emissions were associated with integrated and redissolution spinning, respectively, providing strong motivation for future optimisation of the carbon fibres' mechanical performance and for process development.
Sustainability spotlightCarbon fibre-reinforced plastics are strong, lightweight materials that replace steel, aluminium and glass fibre composites. While the composites are energy-efficient during use, carbon fibre production is reliant on fossil raw materials, employs toxic chemicals, such as acrylonitrile and hydrogen cyanide, and is highly energy-intensive. Carbon fibre composites are also expensive, limiting deployment and hence societal benefits. This study showcases the integration of two promising biorefining approaches with the goal of reducing reliance on fossil raw materials and improving the sustainability of carbon fibre production. Experimental data are accompanied by a rigorous life cycle assessment and a technoeconomic model to highlight the potential for reducing global warming impact and carbon fibre production costs. The new methodology promotes progress on various UN Sustainability Development Goals, including “Decent work and economic growth” (SDG 8), by developing a processe that is simpler and uses fewer hazardous chemicals and “Industry, innovation and infrastructure” (SDG 9) by developing a production method that reduces greenhouse gas emissions and supports the use of renewable feedstocks. |
Lignin is one of the most abundant biopolymers on Earth and is extracted from wood (lignocellulosic biomass) at the multi-million-tonne scale during paper and board production.4,5 Most of the extracted lignin is currently incinerated to generate process energy and electricity. It is projected that less than half of the extracted lignin is needed to supply thermal energy in emerging lignocellulosic biorefineries,6 leaving vast quantities to be used as raw material for carbon-containing chemicals and materials. Since many extracted lignins are mixtures of macromolecules with a substantial proportion of non-hydrolysable linkages,7 the conversion to small molecules such as benzene derivatives is challenging.8 Applications that utilise extracted lignin in the macromolecular form are therefore desirable. Lignin pyrolysis can result in relatively high carbon yields (typically 30–50%), approaching the carbon yield obtained from PAN (∼55%), while the lignin carbon fibre yield is significantly higher than that from cellulose precursor fibres (∼10–20%); hence, the production of lignin-derived carbon materials has attracted considerable interest.1,2,9–11 However, lignin-derived carbon fibres are not commercially available due to a lack of industrially developed fibre production methods. Reported mechanical properties vary, with state-of-the-art performance for optimally processed lignin carbon fibres derived from precursor fibres with >50% biobased content reported to reach tensile strengths and moduli in the ranges 1–1.4 GPa and 70–100 GPa, respectively,12–14 although exceptional tensile strengths (>2 GPa) and moduli (>100 GPa) have been reported recently.15,16
Fibres with high lignin content can be formed through melt spinning, either pure16 or in blends,15,17 which does not require a solvent. Dry spinning12,18,19 generates lignin fibres after dissolution in volatile solvents, for example, water, acetic acid or ethanol–water mixtures, which are evaporated during fibre formation. Both approaches typically require purification,20 fractionation,12,18,21 or chemical modification22–24 before spinning, adding cost and environmental burdens. Long, uneconomical stabilisation times for melt-spun lignin fibres have also been reported.20,25 Fibres can also be formed through wet or coagulation spinning of lignin dissolved in a solvent (the dope) and spun into a coagulation bath containing a second solvent with negligible lignin solubility. Wet spinning is the general approach used for manufacturing PAN precursors.2 Industrial, unfractionated lignins can be transformed into fibres using wet-spinning, but typically rely either on the same solvents used in PAN fibre spinning26 or on more expensive alternatives.13 Due to its low molecular weight, lignin requires a fibre-forming polymer additive for successful wet-spinning. Established examples include poly(ethylene oxide) (PEO),27 cellulose,13 PVA,26 or PAN,28 which are commercial polymers but 2–3 times more costly than technical lignins. Hence, there is a need to identify inexpensive and recyclable solvents for wet spinning lignin that minimise the quantity of spinning additive required.
ILs have been studied as solvents for dissolving hydroxylated macromolecules including the biopolymers cellulose, hemicellulose and lignin.29 As part of this effort, a family of easy-to-prepare protic ionic liquids was identified as recyclable media for extracting lignin and hemicellulose from wood to obtain cellulose pulp,30 generating a solution from which lignin is precipitated by increasing the water content (antisolvent precipitation).31 Alkylammonium hydrogen sulfate–water mixtures have been identified as cost-effective media for ionosolv fractionation32,33 and shown to fractionate a wide range of wood types.34–37 ILs have also been used for the wet-spinning of cellulose and cellulose–lignin precursor fibres into water; however, the ILs 1-ethyl-3-methylimidazolium acetate, [Emim][OAc],13 and 1,5-diazabicyclo[4.3.0]non-5-ene acetate, [DBNH][OAc],38 are expensive ($25–35 kg−1)39 and require near-complete drying to achieve acceptable polymer loadings in the dopes. Recently, we developed a novel lignin spinning method using aqueous mixtures of the ionosolv ionic liquid N,N-dimethylbutylammonium hydrogen sulfate, [DMBA][HSO4],40 which can be produced for <$1 kg−1 at an industrial scale,39 3–5 times lower than the bulk cost of DMSO. We showed that a dope solvent consisting of [DMBA][HSO4] and 40% water enables the spinning of lignin fibres with up to 90% lignin content using only water as the coagulant. The fibre-forming additive was partially hydrolysed PVA, a biodegradable41 and potentially biobased industrial polymer. Carbonised fibres with good carbon yield (up to 42%) were prepared from a range of lignins, including lignin obtained from industrial pulp mills. The approach uses low-cost and benign raw materials, such as unmodified lignin, PVA and water, in addition to the non-flammable ionic liquid–water mixture. Limited information is available on the health hazards of the ionic liquid; however, residual IL left on the cellulose pulp has been shown to be non-toxic in anaerobic digestion and insect feeding.42 It is an acid–base complex of sulfuric acid and the trialkylamine, so its health hazards likely include moderate acidity and dermal toxicity associated with the N,N-dimethylbutylamine. The solvent is non-flammable and unlikely to be persistent and accumulative in the environment, given its constituents. The hazards need to be managed at a potential production site, which should be feasible for carbon fibre manufacturers, who are used to handling teratogenic and toxic dimethylformamide (DMF) and dimethylacetamide (DMAc) solvents.
Since [DMBA][HSO4]–water mixtures have been effective for wet-spinning lignin fibres and for extracting lignin from wood biomass, we hypothesised that the two technologies could be combined to create an overall more efficient route (“integrated spinning”) which uses the lignin-rich extract (black liquor) from ionosolv fractionation as a precursor for the spinning dope, avoiding isolation of the lignin (Fig. 1). Here, we test this new idea and evaluate the potential savings associated with process simplification. Eucalyptus wood was selected as the raw material for this proof-of-concept study for three reasons: it has a high lignin content,36 has shown excellent spinnability in our previous study,40 and is a fast-growing, commercially relevant hardwood species, providing feedstock for ∼40% of the chemical cellulose pulp market in 2021.43 The extracted eucalyptus ionosolv lignin is expected to be a depolymerised hardwood lignin, with a molar weight (Mw) of around 3000–4000 g mol−1 and a dispersity of 3–4.36 However, the method is expected to generalise to a wider range of lignocellulosic biomass types, as both ionosolv extraction and fibre spinning have shown feedstock flexibility. In addition to the technical proof-of-concept, we have explored the cost and environmental impact of lignin-derived carbon fibre production using prospective technoeconomic (TEA) and life cycle assessment (LCA) analysis to evaluate whether further development of the integrated method is warranted.
000 g mol−1) and used as received. The ionic liquid [DMBA][HSO4] with an acid-to-base ratio of 1
:
1 was synthesised from N,N-dimethylbutylamine and sulfuric acid with known water content in a custom-built flow reactor, as described previously.40
The water content in the dope was fixed at 20% in all dopes instead of 40% due to the presence of residual ethanol after black liquor reconcentration. The polymer-to-liquid ratio was determined by the lignin fraction in the liquor, while the lignin–PVA ratio was adjusted via the PVA-to-water ratio in the aqueous PVA stock solution.
Examples: to prepare a dope with a target lignin to PVA ratio of 75
:
25 (3
:
1) and 20 wt% water fraction in the dope for liquor 40, 1.00 g of reconcentrated black liquor was combined with 0.284 g of an aqueous PVA stock solution with a 0.132 PVA-to-water ratio (by weight). To prepare a dope from liquor 40 with a target lignin to PVA weight ratio of 82.5
:
17.5 (4.71
:
1) and 20 wt% water fraction, 1.00 g of reconcentrated black liquor was combined with 0.272 g of a solution with a 0.0848 PVA-to-water ratio. Details of the calculations to determine the PVA loading in the PVA aqueous stock solution and the derivation of the equations are provided in the ESI.†
:
25 lignin to PVA ratio were hung on a rod under tension from a known weight (i.e., a piece of aluminium foil) that was attached to the bottom end of the fibres (50 mg, ∼0.5 mN) and fibres spun from dopes with an 82.5
:
17.5 lignin to PVA ratio were hung under ∼0–0.1 mN tension. Fibres were air-dried overnight.
000 g mol−1) was added to 1.778 g of deionised water and stirred at room temperature for 15 min, then at 85 °C for 45 min until complete dissolution was observed under an optical microscope. 0.989 g of the aqueous poly(vinyl alcohol) stock solution was added to 3.654 g of black liquor 40 to generate a 75
:
25 lignin to PVA ratio and stirred at 60 °C for 6 h. The dope solution was extruded through a 27 G Z-shaped cannula at an extrusion rate of 1.5 mL h−1 into deionised water. The fibres were extruded at a radius of 7 cm and left in a water bath for 2 min before extracting the entire fibre coil from the bath with tweezers. The fibre coil was set on a square of pre-weighed aluminium foil (0.15 g) and left to air dry overnight. The aluminium foil with the air-dried fibres was folded into a parcel and placed in a Thermo Scientific Heratherm oven for 24 h at 105 °C, and the subsequent mass of each parcel was recorded. The yield was calculated by dividing the oven-dried fibre weight by the amount of lignin and PVA present in the extruded volume of the dope. Five measurements were performed, and the average and standard error of the mean are presented.
For fibre spinning, this powder is redissolved in the ionic liquid–water mixture along with the spinning aid (PVA) to make a spinning dope with ∼14 wt% polymer loading (PVA + lignin) which is spun into water and called “redissolution spinning”. To create an integrated spinning process (“integrated spinning”), the ionosolv black liquor must be converted into a spinning dope by adding the spinning aid without lignin isolation. The lignin content in the liquor must be high to achieve a spinnable dope composition which can be achieved by using a high biomass loading during ionosolv fractionation. The biomass loading applied in this work was, therefore, higher than in standard ionosolv fractionation experiments (typically 2
:
10); however, ionosolv fractionation has previously been shown to effectively extract most lignins at up to a 1
:
1 biomass to solvent ratio.35,48 To match the polymer loadings used for previous redissolution spinning experiments, biomass-to-solvent ratios of 3
:
10 (30 wt% biomass loading, black liquor 30) and 4
:
10 (40 wt% loading, black liquor 40) were employed, with theoretical maximum lignin contents in the black liquor of 11% and 15%, respectively.
:
1 and 1.9
:
1 translate to estimated dope solvent compositions of 85
:
14
:
1 and 88
:
11
:
1 wt% fraction (IL
:
ethanol
:
water) for black liquor 30 and black liquor 40, respectively. Although not measured, other solutes generated during eucalyptus wood fractionation were present, including mono and oligosaccharides, furfural, HMF, and acetic acid, which originate from glucan and hemicellulose depolymerisation and conversion.33 Based on the combined glucan and xylan removal from the original biomass, the amount of non-lignin solutes in the black liquor is estimated to be around half of the amount of dissolved lignin.
Optical microscopy of the black liquors (Fig. S2–S5†) showed that they were essentially homogenous solutions with few small (<10 μm) birefringent particles present, likely cellulose crystals that passed through the filter. The particles were significantly smaller than the spinneret diameter and hence not expected to affect fibre coagulation significantly. The reconcentrated black liquors were used to prepare the spinning dope by adding PVA as a spinning aid. Since the PVA flakes did not dissolve directly in the black liquor samples, the polymer was added as a solution, pre-dissolved in deionised water.
:
1 lignin-to-PVA ratio. The successful fibre spinning confirmed that neither the non-lignin solutes generated during wood fractionation, nor the residual wash ethanol introduced through the pulp-washing step hindered fibre formation. Increasing the dope preparation time from 1 h to 6 h increased the dope viscosity and the resulting fibre diameter (Table 2).
| Biomass loading (%) | Dope preparation time (h) | Lignin to PVA ratio | Needle I.D. (μm) | Fibre diameter (μm) | Tensile strength (MPa) | Young's modulus (GPa) | Strain at break (%) | Est. carbon yield (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| a Single measurement. | ||||||||
| 30 | 1 | 75 : 25 |
184 | 59.2 ± 3.6 | 43.6 ± 2.4 | 4.7 ± 0.1 | 1.0 ± 0.0 | 29.1 ± 2.6 |
| 30 | 6 | 75 : 25 |
184 | 78.1 ± 3.4 | 47.5 ± 1.8 | 5.0 ± 0.3 | 1.0 ± 0.1 | 30.6 ± 0.6 |
| 40 | 1 | 75 : 25 |
184 | 86.0 ± 1.5 | 43.4 ± 1.8 | 4.8 ± 0.1 | 1.0 ± 0.1 | 32.2 ± 0.5 |
| 40 | 6 | 75 : 25 |
184 | 93.2 ± 5.0 | 40.6 ± 2.3 | 4.8 ± 0.4 | 0.9 ± 0.1 | 35.7 ± 0.2 |
| 40 | 6 | 82.5 : 17.5 |
184 | 75.3 ± 5.3 | 39.1 ± 7.8 | 4.8 ± 0.7 | 0.9 ± 0.1 | 36.6 ± 1.1 |
| From lignin powder40 | 1 | 75 : 25 |
210 | 123.4 ± 11.7 | 30.0 ± 1.9 | 2.8 ± 0.1 | 1.2 ± 0.1 | 40.7 ± 1.2 |
| From lignin powder40 | 1 | 82.5 : 17.5 |
210 | 128.6 ± 2.8 | 21.2 ± 2.3 | 4.3 ± 0.1 | 0.5 ± 0.1 | 42.2a |
Ideally, the lignin content of the fibres should be maximised to increase the carbon fibre yield and reduce carbon fibre cost.1 However, dopes with the higher lignin-to-PVA ratio (82.5
:
17.5%) were difficult to spin, presumably due to the low PVA content in the dope, resulting in a low dope viscosity (Fig. S6 in the ESI†). A longer dope preparation time (6 h) resulted in a viscosity increase of 25% (Fig. S6b†), which was sufficient to spin continuous lignin–PVA fibres from Dope 40.
![]() | ||
Fig. 2 SEM images of lignin PVA fibres prepared from 30% and 40% ionosolv black liquors using 6 h preparation time and a 75 : 25 or 82.5 : 17.5 lignin-to-PVA ratio. | ||
Comparison of the collected precursor fibre mass and the nominal solid content injected during spinning (for Dope 40 with a 75
:
25 lignin to PVA ratio and 6 h dope preparation time) indicated that 9.6 wt% of polymer weight was lost to the coagulation bath during spinning (Table S6†). The more soluble (aka “acid-soluble”) lignin may be lost preferentially. It is hence likely that the lignin-to-PVA ratio in the precursor fibres was lower than intended.
The air-dried lignin–PVA fibres generated from various compositions had similar tensile strengths (39–48 MPa), moduli (4.2–5.2 GPa) and strains at break (0.9–1.0%) (Table 2). The tensile strengths were similar to those of fibres prepared from isolated eucalyptus ionosolv lignin, but slightly higher overall. The tensile strengths of the lignin–PVA fibres were also similar to those reported for other spinning methods employing isolated lignins and PVA,26 showing that integrating fibre spinning with lignin extraction does not negatively affect precursor fibre properties. The absolute values could likely be improved significantly at an increased scale, as discussed below.
![]() | ||
| Fig. 3 Thermogravimetric analysis data of lignin PVA fibres generated through integrated spinning to estimate the carbon fibre yield. | ||
TGA-measured carbon yields were in the 30–37% range, with higher yields obtained for dopes with higher lignin loading and longer dope preparation times. Longer dope preparation is thought to promote intermolecular interactions between PVA polymer chains and between PVA and lignin, as evidenced by increased dope viscosity. These interactions may help retain more lignin during coagulation and more carbon during pyrolysis. The estimated carbon yields for directly spun lignin fibres (29–37%) were lower than the yields observed for PVA–lignin fibres generated from isolated ionosolv eucalyptus lignin (41% and 42% for the 75
:
25 and 82.5
:
17.5 lignin to PVA ratios, respectively) and pure eucalyptus lignin (∼44%).40 The lower carbon yield may also be due to lower lignin-to-PVA ratios in the fibres than in the dope; however, more work is needed to understand the phenomenon and maximise carbon fibre yield. The reported carbon yields are comparable with those reported for wet-spun fibres using redissolved Kraft softwood lignin with cellulose or PVA as spinning aids (30–37% estimated or actual carbon yield).13,26
The fibre diameters were relatively large (51–63 μm, Table 3), which is typically associated with increased defect size, lower tensile strength and a reduced contribution from an ordered fibre skin. The carbonised fibres had tensile strengths of 300–450 MPa (Table 3), with no significant variation observed among the different samples. Interestingly, the measured strengths are higher than those obtained for carbonised eucalyptus PVA fibres generated via redissolution (RS) spinning in our previous study.40 The cause of the increased tensile strength is unclear, although it may be due to the avoidance of defects associated with incomplete redissolution. The carbonised fibres' modulus was 35–43 GPa, similar to that of the carbonised fibres prepared from isolated lignin in our previous study. To ascertain the role of defects, the Weibull strength and modulus could be calculated in the future.19 These tensile properties did not reach the benchmark values for carbon fibres in automotive applications (1.72 GPa strength and 172 GPa tensile modulus)1 or the state-of-the-art tensile properties for lignin fibres (∼1–2 GPa strength and 100–260 GPa tensile modulus)15 obtained at ∼10 μm carbon fibre diameter, similar to those of commercial carbon fibres. However, the study's goal was to demonstrate a proof-of-concept of integrated spinning as a new process option. There are several standard engineering approaches to optimising fibre spinning, which should improve the fibre mechanical properties, such as the application of tension and fibre drawing. Applying continuous multifilament tow spinning will enable the reduction of fibre diameter.15,16,19 Better filtration of the black liquor should remove cellulose fibre fragments which likely cause defects due to their lower carbon yield, while improved dope degassing will minimise void formation. The impact of impurities from either the biomass (ash, extractives, and protein) or the extraction process (ionic liquid) on the fibre should be explored systematically in the future. Precursor fibre drawing, optimising the temperature programme and tensioning during stabilisation and carbonisation could improve atomic alignment in the final carbon fibres. While some studies report their best mechanical properties at 1000 °C, others report best performance at 1200–1400 °C,13,19 so carbonisation temperatures above 1000 °C could be explored.
| Sample | Lignin: PVA (wt/wt%) | Biomass loading (%) | Dope preparation time (h) | Fibre diameter (μm) | Tensile strength (MPa) | Modulus (GPa) | Strain at break (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 75% lignin (dope 30–6 h) | 75 : 25 |
30 | 6 | 55 ± 3 | 312 ± 62 | 35 ± 1 | 1.0 ± 0.2 |
| 75% lignin (dope 40–1 h) | 72 : 25 |
40 | 1 | 51 ± 3 | 444 ± 55 | 43 ± 1 | 1.2 ± 0.1 |
| 75% lignin (dope 40–6 h) | 72 : 25 |
40 | 6 | 63 ± 6 | 367 ± 103 | 35 ± 2 | 1.2 ± 0.2 |
| 82.5% lignin (dope 40–6 h) | 82.5 : 17.5 |
40 | 6 | 62 ± 4 | 435 ± 37 | 37 ± 2 | 1.0 ± 0.1 |
| 75% lignin (RS)40 | 72 : 25 |
N/A | 1 | 77 ± 13 | 291 ± 37 | 40 ± 3 | 0.6 ± 0.1 |
| 82.5% lignin (RS)40 | 82.5 : 17.5 |
N/A | 1 | 91 ± 5 | 282 ± 35 | 36 ± 2 | 0.9 ± 0.1 |
The process inventory (Tables S7 and S8†) shows relevant parameters across the production stages for integrated and redissolution spinning, respectively. Assumptions for the model were based on data from this study and from the study by Yang et al., with some modifications. For lignin extraction, the eucalyptus wood loading for both process options was assumed to be 40%, with an increased lignin extraction of 90%, with the composition presented in Table S1.† The increased lignin extraction is reasonable, as the high residual lignin content in the pulp is attributed to the use of ethanol as wash solvent in the lab-scale procedure, which would be omitted in the industrial process.46 51% of the biomass was assumed to become unbleached cellulose pulp while 11.2% was xylan that was converted to furfural and 4.8% was acetic acid, which are co-products of the process. The water content in the extraction solvent was 20% and the solvent recovery was assumed to be 99.5%, which is reasonable based on a recycling study for a similar ionic liquid.32 The IL was reused 10 times for the base case (a sensitivity analysis for IL recycling is performed later). For redissolution spinning, the dilution ratio of the IL to precipitate the lignin was 4
:
1 and three washes were assumed for the cellulose.
For carbon fibre production, the lignin-to-PVA ratio in the dope solvent was 4
:
1, an estimated minor reduction from the lab scale process; the biomass loading was 40 wt% and the polymer fraction in the dope was 8% of the total mass in the redissolution spinning dope; the coagulated lignin PVA fibre yield was 100% for redissolution spinning and 90% for integrated spinning, based on the experimental data presented in this paper. Two further assumptions, subject to future verification are as follows: (a) the use of a coagulation bath with 20 wt% IL content rather than deionised water, applied to facilitate energy-efficient recovery of the dope solvent, and (b) that stabilisation can be achieved within 1 h at 250 °C in air, which is shorter than the experimental procedure used in this study, but is a reasonable assumption based on previous reports.52 Carbonisation at 1000 °C in nitrogen gas was assumed to result in carbon fibre yields of 42.0% and 36.6% for redissolution and integrated spinning, respectively, based on experimental data from this and our previous study.40 The energy source was the United Kingdom′s 2024 grid electricity system, which comprises a combination of non-renewable and renewable energy sources. Emissions from the carbonisation were not evaluated, as there are no experimental data on the composition of the off gases for the ionosolv carbon fibre approaches or other proposed lignin carbon fibre methods. The off-gases from lignin carbonisation are not known but they are likely a range of compounds including CH4, CO2, CO, water and volatile tars and would require appropriate abatement methods.53
Furthermore, the benefit of recycling the ionic liquid was captured in the assessment (∼10 times at 99.5% IL recovery per cycle for the base case), which reduced the GWP impact of the fractionation unit. Since the recycling rate of the ionic liquid can in principle be higher,33 the sensitivity of recycling the ionic liquid is discussed in the sensitivity analysis section. The carbonisation stage includes the fibre stabilisation and fibre pyrolysis, with the former modelled at 250 °C and the latter modelled at 1000 °C in line with the experimental part of the study.
The contribution of precursor fibre carbonisation to the overall GWP was larger than that of other carbon fibre production stages due to the high temperature required, which aligns with expectation and existing studies on PAN carbon fibre production.59 Several factors have been identified as influencing the energy intensity of fibre carbonisation, including the furnace type/geometry, heat losses, heat recovery efficiency, and duration of carbonisation. A sensitivity analysis, exploring a range of residence times and varying levels of heat recovery and heat losses is presented in Fig. S14 of the ESI.† The model suggests that lower energy consumption is achieved when the residence time is limited to 30 minutes and a low heat loss coefficient is achieved for the furnace. However, stabilisation furnaces aer designed to be open, where fibres repeatedly enter and exit, making insulation challenging.
The GWP for both base-case lignin carbon fibre production models falls within the range predicted for lignin carbon fibre production technologies by other models (15 kg CO2-eq to 25 kg CO2-eq) and is lower than the GHG emissions estimated for PAN carbon fibre spinning (27 kg CO2-eq to 41 kg CO2-eq).10 Exceptionally, a GWP impact of only 1.5 kg CO2-eq was calculated for carbon fibres from Lignoboost Kraft lignin generated via melt spinning.57 In this study, the environmental burdens of the pulping process were allocated according to the economic value of the wood pulping products rather than by mass, which means that most GWP burdens associated with the wood fractionation were allocated to cellulose. A larger proportion of fossil energy was replaced with renewable energy (the Swedish region had a strongly decarbonised electricity grid in 2022) and energy from the pulping stage was recycled for use in the lignin carbon fibre production, showing that deploying renewable energy and energy recycling are key to achieving carbon fibres with low global warming impact.
The allocation of carbon credit for substituting PAN with bioderived precursors for carbon fibre production resulted in a significant reduction in environmental impact from 20.7 to 9.5 kg CO2-eq and from 25.3 to 14.2 kg CO2-eq for integrated and redissolution spinning, respectively. Replacing the UK grid electricity system with fully renewable electricity sources (e.g., wind turbines) reduced the base case GWP to 8.6 kg CO2-eq and 9.1 kg CO2-eq for integrated and redissolution spinning, respectively, highlighting the importance of alternative sustainable energy sources in decarbonising advanced materials production.
The environmental impact indicates high sensitivity to ionic liquid synthesis (see Fig. S12 in the ESI†). It is crucial to recycle the ionic liquid at least 10 times, as this reduced GWP impact by 72% and 68% for integrated and redissolution spinning in our model, respectively. Increasing the recycling of the ionic liquid during fractionation from 10 to 50 cycles benefitted the environmental profile of the lignin carbon fibres by generating further GWP savings of ∼2% and 3%, respectively. This analysis implies that after 50 recycling cycles (equivalent to a 2% IL loss rate per batch), additional recycling of the ionic liquid would not significantly improve the environmental profile of the lignin carbon fibre.
Using the model, the production cost for integrated spun carbon fibres was calculated to be $9.02 kg−1, and slightly higher, $9.69 kg−1, for redissolution spun fibres. The largest contributions to the total production costs, for both spinning approaches, were operating cost such as utilities, reagents, general overheads, and biomass feedstock, accounting for 58%, 29%, 18.4% and 5.9%, respectively. As expected, energy cost (electricity and natural gas to generate steam) were key contributors. Lignin carbon fibre production required a levelised capital cost of $1.5 kg−1via integrated spinning and $1.8 kg−1via redissolution spinning (Fig. 7a), showing that lignin carbon fibre production cost is dominated by operating cost, as is expected for bulk material production. The higher capital investment for redissolution spinning is due to the additional production stages. Interestingly, the production costs of the two options are not far apart. This parity is due to the total unit of product (1 kg carbon fibre) being dependent on the carbon yield which was lower for integrated spinning (36.6%) compared to redissolution spun carbon fibres (42%). The results indicate that carbon yield strongly affects the economic performance of the production process; hence future developments should target improving carbon yield in addition to mechanical properties, as concluded by others.1 Revenue from the sale of the co-products of lignin extraction contributes to the lower cost of the lignin carbon fibres, especially cellulose and furfural, as they help offset processing costs associated with feedstock and lignin isolation. However, reliance on revenue from co-products means that fluctuations in these revenues will indirectly affect lignin carbon fibre production cost.
The costs calculated with our model are similar to the ones estimated by the US Department of Energy 2010 production cost of $6.27 kg−1 ($9.08 kg−1 in 2024 accounting for inflation) for lignin carbon fibres at 35% carbon yield.1 The DoE model indicated that a carbon yield of 55% could reduce the carbon fibre cost further to $4 kg−1 ($5.79 kg−1 in 2024).59 The observation that carbon yield has an important influence on carbon fibre price is aligned with this study. Production costs could be reduced further through classical process engineering economies of scale, for example, through capital cost reduction, investment in energy integration, and improved material recovery, especially minimising the amount of water in precursor fibre production.
Literature indicates an average market value of $20 kg−1 PAN carbon fibre for a production capacity of 1500 t per year (ref. 60) and $21.5 kg−1 (ref. 61) for non-aerospace grade PAN carbon fibres, which is more than double the lignin carbon fibre production modelled here. The DoE predicted $12.25 kg−1 for low-grade textile PAN carbon fibres (the lowest performance grade), after cost optimisation in the same model, which is just above the lignin carbon fibre cost found for integrated lignin carbon fibre spinning.62 The production of the PAN precursor attracts high cost due to the relatively high precursor price (∼$1.4 kg−1), intensive energy use and expensive solvents (∼$3.5 kg−1),56 while the lignin precursor fibre in this model was produced from low-cost feed biomass ($0.08 kg−1) using a low-cost solvent ($0.53 kg−1), which presents a competitive advantage for lignin carbon fibres against PAN carbon fibres (fossil- and bio-based PAN).
The ionosolv lignin carbon fibres have a similar production cost to proposed fossil-derived low-cost carbon fibres. For low-cost fossil-based sources such as asphaltene, production costs of $10.16 kg−1 carbon fibre for a 3000 tonnes per year production capacity62 and $10.81 kg−1 carbon fibre for a 2140 tonnes per year capacity60 have been reported. The modelled asphaltene carbon fibre cost was ∼10% higher than the lignin carbon fibres cost obtained in this study, which highlights the potential cost benefits associated with lignin-based carbon fibres.
Four sensitivity scenarios were employed to probe the effect of changes in key cost contributors to the overall lignin carbon fibre cost. The greatest cost sensitivity is to utility cost, which are dominated by electricity and fuel. Fig. 7b and c show that a drop in utility cost by 25% reduced total production cost to $7.83 kg−1 and a 25% increase in the utility component raised it to $10.49 kg−1 for the integrated spinning process. A larger (50%) price drop in the utility cost further reduced the total production cost to $6.5 kg−1, highlighting the need for cost-effective sustainable energy sources. Sensitivity plots for the redissolution spinning option follow a similar trend and can be found in Fig. S15 in the ESI.†
The comparisons of cost and environmental impact made on a per kg basis need to be considered in light of the specific performance of the fibres and their potential applications. Significant performance improvements are needed for direct substitution in existing PAN fibre applications, even at lower standard modulus grades; however, more modest improvements could be achieved through the adjustments to fibre spinning processes discussed above, which could introduce lignin-derived carbon fibres into sectors where lower cost and improved environmental profile are beneficial and moderate mechanical properties acceptable. Examples include new applications such as reinforcing conductive building materials and existing applications such as ultrahigh temperature thermal insulation, electrostatic dissipation, and ablative composites.18
The study also established the associated environmental impacts and production cost for integrated spinning in comparison to carbon fibre production using isolating ionosolv lignin. Cradle-to-gate LCA showed that the GWP can be reduced by 18% when switching from redissolution spinning to integrated spinning and is associated with a significant reduction in the eutrophication impact; however, the cost was barely reduced, which our model shows is due to the lower carbon yield obtained for the carbon fibres generated via integrated spinning. The TEA showed promising cost reductions for both approaches (<$10 kg−1) which could be improved by increasing carbon fibre yield and production scale. A reduction in stabilisation time to 30 min and the use of recycled ionic liquid (at least 10 times) are needed to achieve the modelled costs and environmental performance. The results motivate future optimisation of carbon fibre performance, for example increasing Young's modulus to >90 GPa, as achieved by high performance glass fibres (HM/T2) and improving carbon fibre yield in subsequent studies, which could then lead to process development.
Footnotes |
| † Electronic supplementary information (ESI) available. See DOI: https://doi.org/10.1039/d5su00218d |
| ‡ These authors contributed equally to the work. |
| This journal is © The Royal Society of Chemistry 2025 |